News & Events
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Aug 01 2017
RBI Considers Leading Indicators
ECRI's leading indicator approach differs from standard econometric models. More
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Jul 31 2017
Phillips Curveball
It is the U.S. Future Inflation Gauge, "not the Phillips curve", that provides early warning of an inflation upturn. More
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Jul 28 2017
Weekly Leading Index Slips
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to 2.8%. More
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Jul 21 2017
Weekly Leading Index Rises
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to 2.6%. More
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Jul 19 2017
U.S. Long Leading Index: A Primer
The value of the ECRI's U.S. Long Leading Index (USLLI) lies in its ability to spot cyclical turns in the level of economic activity before conventional leading indexes. More
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Jul 18 2017
All Signs Point to a Cyclical Slowdown in Inflation
Even as central bankers get more hawkish, the data show there's a change underway that the Fed is likely to miss. More
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Jul 14 2017
Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
The U.S. WLI growth rate ticked down to 2.4, a 66-week low. More
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Jul 11 2017
Monthly U.S. WLI Falls
Monthly data for ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index shows its growth rate falling to 2.9%, a 15-month low. More
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Jul 07 2017
Reuters: Jobs, Wages & the Fed
The Future Inflation Gauge does not use the Philips curve, or extrapolation. More
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Jul 07 2017
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
The U.S. WLI growth rate slips to a 64-week low. More
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Jul 07 2017
Future Inflation Gauge Edges Up
The U.S. FIG edged up in June after having dropped noticeably in May. More
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Jul 07 2017
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge: A Primer
Value of U.S. Future Inflation Gauge lies in its ability to predict inflation cycle turns. More
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Jun 30 2017
Weekly Leading Index Eases
The U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate fell to a 63-week low of 3.0%. More
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Jun 26 2017
China Trade Masks Key U.S. Gains
The U.S. goods trade deficit has tripled since recession, masking doubling in services trade surplus. More
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Jun 23 2017
U.S. WLI Ticks Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips to a 62-week low. More
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Jun 16 2017
New Interview with Real Vision
ECRI's Achuthan spoke with Real Vision TV about the 2017 cyclical outlook, and more. More
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Jun 16 2017
U.S. WLI Edges Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases to a 60-week low. More
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Jun 13 2017
Higher Inflation "Should Be Celebrated"
We ask the experts whether inflation's dormant years are over and how to handle its return. More
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Jun 13 2017
Turning Points: The Long and Short of It
Here are the key turning points underpinning the economic angst that won't go away. More
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Jun 09 2017
U.S. WLI Increases
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate at a 59-week low. More
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ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation-. The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
(ECRI's) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
