News & Events
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May 05 2017
U.S. FIG Remains Elevated
The U.S. Future Inflation Gauge stayed near its highest readings since 2008. More
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May 02 2017
Near-term Pop, Long-term Drop
Pre-election U.S. cycle upturn is holding, but a different cyclical downturn is coming into focus. More
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Apr 28 2017
U.S. WLI Decreases
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down. More
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Apr 21 2017
U.S. WLI Slipped
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreased. More
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Apr 19 2017
Levy Economics Institute
"America First" in Perspective
Presentation slides & notes presented at this week's Minsky conference. More
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Apr 13 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate eased. More
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Apr 12 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Ticked Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index monthly growth rate decreased to 7.8%. More
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Apr 10 2017
Incredible Rush to Exceptional India
Markets are catching up to the "Exceptional India" call ECRI made last September. More
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Apr 07 2017
Jobs, Inflation & the Fed
Jobs data in context of cyclical upturn in growth and inflation. More
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Apr 07 2017
U.S. WLI Edges Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index edged up, as its growth rate eased. More
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Apr 07 2017
Jobless Rates Show Cyclical Revival, Structural Slack
Joblessness hasn't been lower since before the Great Recession. More
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Apr 07 2017
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Near 8 3/4 year high
"While the USFIG dipped in March, it remains in a cyclical upswing, and close to February's 8 3/4 year high." More
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Apr 05 2017
'Ancient History' Cannot Deny Cycle Upturn
People still conflate old news on structural problems with the cyclical outlook. More
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Apr 03 2017
Interview: NAFTA & Jobs
ECRI on MSNBC discussing NAFTA & Jobs. More
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Mar 31 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases. More
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Mar 31 2017
EM: From Ugly Ducklings to Swans
Emerging economies, whose prospects were widely panned, are now the market darlings. More
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Mar 24 2017
U.S. WLI Decreased
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticked down. More
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Mar 17 2017
U.S. WLI Ticked Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edged down. More
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Mar 16 2017
New Cycle Dates Determined for Russia and Australia
New Russian and Australian cycle dates. More
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Mar 15 2017
Fed Not Crying Wolf
In early 2017 many expected the Fed to, yet again, over-promise and under-deliver on rate hikes. ECRI warned otherwise. More
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