News & Events
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Apr 10 2017
Incredible Rush to Exceptional India
Markets are catching up to the "Exceptional India" call ECRI made last September. More
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Apr 07 2017
Jobs, Inflation & the Fed
Jobs data in context of cyclical upturn in growth and inflation. More
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Apr 07 2017
U.S. WLI Edges Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index edged up, as its growth rate eased. More
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Apr 07 2017
Jobless Rates Show Cyclical Revival, Structural Slack
Joblessness hasn't been lower since before the Great Recession. More
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Apr 07 2017
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Near 8 3/4 year high
"While the USFIG dipped in March, it remains in a cyclical upswing, and close to February's 8 3/4 year high." More
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Apr 05 2017
'Ancient History' Cannot Deny Cycle Upturn
People still conflate old news on structural problems with the cyclical outlook. More
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Apr 03 2017
Interview: NAFTA & Jobs
ECRI on MSNBC discussing NAFTA & Jobs. More
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Mar 31 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases. More
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Mar 31 2017
EM: From Ugly Ducklings to Swans
Emerging economies, whose prospects were widely panned, are now the market darlings. More
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Mar 24 2017
U.S. WLI Decreased
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticked down. More
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Mar 17 2017
U.S. WLI Ticked Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edged down. More
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Mar 16 2017
New Cycle Dates Determined for Russia and Australia
New Russian and Australian cycle dates. More
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Mar 15 2017
Fed Not Crying Wolf
In early 2017 many expected the Fed to, yet again, over-promise and under-deliver on rate hikes. ECRI warned otherwise. More
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Mar 14 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Unchanged
WLI monthly level was unchanged at 143.1, growth rate fell to 10.0%. More
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Mar 10 2017
Interview on U.S. Jobs, Fed & ECB
Lakshman Achuthan's Reuters interview on U.S. Jobs, the Fed and ECB. More
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Mar 10 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index level edged down to 144.9, the growth rate decreased to 9.5%. More
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Mar 10 2017
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
The USFIG inched up further in February, staying in a cyclical upswing. More
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Mar 08 2017
Cyclical Outlook Good, But Sustained 3-4% GDP Growth Unlikely
Interview highlights on near-term outlook, and specific items that need to improve for faster sustained growth. More
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Mar 08 2017
ECB Risks Inflation Surprise
The Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge shows that the ECB is falling behind the curve. More
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Mar 06 2017
ECB Mistaking Structural for Cyclical
In sustaining massive amounts of QE, the ECB overlooks the reality that much of the labor market's problems are structural. More
Testimonial
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
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Nothing in the world compares with ECRI's insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI's indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
