News & Events
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May 12 2017
U.S. WLI Ticks Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth at 54-week low. More
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May 08 2017
Wage Growth Widely Misunderstood
Addressing the paradox of falling wage growth as the economy accelerates. More
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May 05 2017
Jobs Data in Cyclical Perspective
Healthy jobs report fits with upturn in economic growth flagged by ECRI months ago. More
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May 05 2017
U.S. WLI Increases
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth at one-year low. More
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May 05 2017
U.S. FIG Remains Elevated
The U.S. Future Inflation Gauge stayed near its highest readings since 2008. More
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May 02 2017
Near-term Pop, Long-term Drop
Pre-election U.S. cycle upturn is holding, but a different cyclical downturn is coming into focus. More
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Apr 28 2017
U.S. WLI Decreases
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down. More
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Apr 21 2017
U.S. WLI Slipped
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreased. More
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Apr 19 2017
Levy Economics Institute
"America First" in Perspective
Presentation slides & notes presented at this week's Minsky conference. More
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Apr 13 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate eased. More
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Apr 12 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Ticked Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index monthly growth rate decreased to 7.8%. More
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Apr 10 2017
Incredible Rush to Exceptional India
Markets are catching up to the "Exceptional India" call ECRI made last September. More
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Apr 07 2017
Jobs, Inflation & the Fed
Jobs data in context of cyclical upturn in growth and inflation. More
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Apr 07 2017
U.S. WLI Edges Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index edged up, as its growth rate eased. More
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Apr 07 2017
Jobless Rates Show Cyclical Revival, Structural Slack
Joblessness hasn't been lower since before the Great Recession. More
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Apr 07 2017
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Near 8 3/4 year high
"While the USFIG dipped in March, it remains in a cyclical upswing, and close to February's 8 3/4 year high." More
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Apr 05 2017
'Ancient History' Cannot Deny Cycle Upturn
People still conflate old news on structural problems with the cyclical outlook. More
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Apr 03 2017
Interview: NAFTA & Jobs
ECRI on MSNBC discussing NAFTA & Jobs. More
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Mar 31 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases. More
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Mar 31 2017
EM: From Ugly Ducklings to Swans
Emerging economies, whose prospects were widely panned, are now the market darlings. More
Testimonial
...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms. Oct. 2011
I find that ECRI's historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
