News & Events
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Dec 08 2017
Weekly Leading Index Rises
Latest U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up. More
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Dec 07 2017
Tax Cuts May Hit Economy as it Slows
ECRI's forward-looking indicators point to "a slowdown that most don't see coming." More
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Nov 22 2017
China Data Disappoints, As ECRI Expected
Markets were disappointed by Chinese data this week, but ECRI's September reporting warned of this very outcome. More
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Nov 15 2017
Inflation Cycle Locked Into Downturn
ECRI was warning of the inflation downturn when the Fed was celebrating its midyear 'Mission Accomplished' moment. More
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Nov 13 2017
As China Takes Center Stage In The World, It May Be Time To Buy
China's share of global GDP is growing while the United States' share of global purchasing power has been declining. More
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Nov 08 2017
Why So Many (in the West) Are Pissed Off
Is what ails the U.S. someone else's fault? History says no. More
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Nov 06 2017
Nowcasts and Consensus Forecasts
Are they useful? Not at turning points. More
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Nov 03 2017
Wage Inflation Puzzle on Full Display
We're approaching generational lows in unemployment, yet wage inflation is falling. More
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Nov 03 2017
Average Hourly Earnings Falls, But It's Not What It Seems
Why has wage growth fallen? More
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Oct 30 2017
U.S. Economy Grew at a 3% Rate
"Some people may think we are in the seventh or eighth inning of this expansion... there is no fundamental reason an economic expansion cannot last for 20 innings or longer." More
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Oct 19 2017
Profits Growth Slows with Economy
With P/E multiple expansion unlikely, the focus turns to profits growth. More
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Oct 18 2017
RBI's Monetary Policy Minutes
Minutes of the monetary policy committee meeting. More
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Oct 13 2017
Consensus Plays Catch Up to Our Global Growth Call
Last February we declared the global outlook to be the brightest since 2010. More
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Oct 06 2017
Don't Count on Ever-Growing Corporate Profit
Economic growth is about as good as it gets, and we're on the cusp of a fresh downturn. More
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Sep 20 2017
Cyclical Forces Pressuring the Fed
ECRI's Achuthan speaks with CNBC about how monetary policy is impacted by cycles in inflation and growth. More
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Sep 08 2017
Q&A On Waning Economic Growth
U.S. economic growth is now "about as good as it gets." More
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Sep 08 2017
Jan '17 Flashback: Bond Bears Will Be Blindsided
Last January, ECRI warned that cyclical forces would blindside those betting on the end of the 35-year bond bull market. More
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Sep 01 2017
Interview: Jobs, the Fed & Cyclical Developments
Economic growth, which has been ramping up since mid-2016, is now about as good as it gets. More
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Sep 01 2017
U.S. FIG Ticks Up
The U.S. Future Inflation Gauge is still well below last fall's cyclical peak. More
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Aug 25 2017
Finding the Root Cause of Recessions
Two things bear most of the blame: external shocks and economic volatility. More
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