News & Events
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Jul 06 2018
Jobs Report, GDP, and the Fed
ECRI's Achuthan joined Reuters TV to discuss the jobs report, including the employment/population ratio, as well as industrial commodities, GDP and the Fed. More
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Jul 06 2018
Trade War and Recession Risk
ECRI’s Achuthan joined Bloomberg TV to discuss global trade and recession risk, the Fed and industrial commodities. More
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Jul 03 2018
Oil Diverges from Other Industrial Commodities
Lakshman Achuthan joined BNN Bloomberg to discuss ECRI’s insights into recent moves in commodity prices and the global slowdown. More
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Jun 26 2018
Unusual Divergence in Commodities Spotlights Global Slowdown
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses industrial commodity prices in the context of a global slowdown on CNBC. More
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Jun 20 2018
Monetary Policy Minutes Include ECRI
Minutes of the June 2018 RBI monetary policy committee meeting. More
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May 22 2018
A Stealth Slowdown
The rise in inflation and interest rates is masking an economic slowdown. More
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May 04 2018
Jobs Report: Good & Bad News
Reuters talks with ECRI's Achuthan about slowing jobs growth. More
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May 01 2018
How to Avoid Being Blindsided By the Business Cycle
Highlights from RealVision discussion on the business cycle and the risk of a global recession. More
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Apr 26 2018
Interview: Deglobalization and the Fed
ECRI’s Achuthan on a structural retreat of globalization, trade and the Fed. More
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Apr 25 2018
Analytical Approach and the Current Slowdown
ECRI's analytical approach and how today it shows the fourth slowdown in U.S. growth since the financial crisis. More
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Apr 20 2018
Levy Economics Institute
Are We Really "Normalizing?"
The danger of confusing cyclical with structural: see slide deck with notes. More
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Apr 09 2018
The Dog that Didn't Bark
Unemployment is flat, yet it should be falling if the economy is as strong as most assume. More
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Mar 09 2018
Global Economy's Wile E. Coyote Moment
Groupthink on synchronized global growth upturn in danger of being blindsided by cyclical downturn getting underway. More
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Mar 09 2018
Jobless Rate Consistent with Slowdown
The unemployment rate has been drifting up, conforming to the economic slowdown that ECRI flagged earlier. More
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Mar 09 2018
Interview on Jobs & Global Growth
ECRI's Achuthan talks with Reuters about the jobs report and slowing international GDP growth. More
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Mar 06 2018
Trade Sanctions and Global Slowdown
ECRI's Achuthan on the slow recognition of the global slowdown, trade sanctions and monetary policy. More
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Feb 16 2018
Q/A on Economic Slowdown Taking Hold
The implications of rising rates are more worrisome than realized by most people who are missing ECRI's 2018 slowdown call. More
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Feb 13 2018
Bond quality spread confirming looming economic slowdown
ECRI sees 2018 economic slowdown on tap, and bond market quality spreads agree. More
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Feb 09 2018
Financial Sense
Extended Interview on ECRI's Cyclical Outlook
ECRI's Achuthan talks with Financial Sense about the outlook for growth, inflation, wages, and more. More
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Feb 02 2018
Up is Down: Jump in AHE Growth Confirms Economic Slowdown
January wage growth jumped for an unwelcome reason: growth in hours fell faster than pay growth. More
Testimonial
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
"penetrating analysis"
"eerily accurate"
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI's insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI's indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock - deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
