News & Events
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May 17 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Edges Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index monthly growth rate falls to 5.5%, a one-year low. More
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May 12 2017
U.S. WLI Ticks Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth at 54-week low. More
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May 08 2017
Wage Growth Widely Misunderstood
Addressing the paradox of falling wage growth as the economy accelerates. More
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May 05 2017
Jobs Data in Cyclical Perspective
Healthy jobs report fits with upturn in economic growth flagged by ECRI months ago. More
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May 05 2017
U.S. WLI Increases
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth at one-year low. More
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May 05 2017
U.S. FIG Remains Elevated
The U.S. Future Inflation Gauge stayed near its highest readings since 2008. More
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May 02 2017
Near-term Pop, Long-term Drop
Pre-election U.S. cycle upturn is holding, but a different cyclical downturn is coming into focus. More
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Apr 28 2017
U.S. WLI Decreases
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down. More
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Apr 21 2017
U.S. WLI Slipped
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreased. More
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Apr 19 2017
Levy Economics Institute
"America First" in Perspective
Presentation slides & notes presented at this week's Minsky conference. More
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Apr 13 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate eased. More
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Apr 12 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Ticked Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index monthly growth rate decreased to 7.8%. More
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Apr 10 2017
Incredible Rush to Exceptional India
Markets are catching up to the "Exceptional India" call ECRI made last September. More
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Apr 07 2017
Jobs, Inflation & the Fed
Jobs data in context of cyclical upturn in growth and inflation. More
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Apr 07 2017
U.S. WLI Edges Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index edged up, as its growth rate eased. More
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Apr 07 2017
Jobless Rates Show Cyclical Revival, Structural Slack
Joblessness hasn't been lower since before the Great Recession. More
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Apr 07 2017
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Near 8 3/4 year high
"While the USFIG dipped in March, it remains in a cyclical upswing, and close to February's 8 3/4 year high." More
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Apr 05 2017
'Ancient History' Cannot Deny Cycle Upturn
People still conflate old news on structural problems with the cyclical outlook. More
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Apr 03 2017
Interview: NAFTA & Jobs
ECRI on MSNBC discussing NAFTA & Jobs. More
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Mar 31 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases. More
Testimonial
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
"penetrating analysis"
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
"eerily accurate"
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation-. The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
