News & Events
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Jun 02 2017
Jobs and the Fed
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talking jobs and the Fed on Reuters' Trading at Noon. More
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Jun 02 2017
U.S. WLI Decreases
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate at a 58-week low. More
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May 26 2017
U.S. WLI Edges Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up. More
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May 25 2017
ECB's Dilemma
Overheated German economy or debt crisis in Italy. More
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May 24 2017
International Inflation Cycles Sync Up
More synchronized international inflation cycles allow earlier detection of inflation cycle turning points. More
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May 23 2017
New Growth Rate Cycle Date Determined for the U.S.
New U.S. growth rate cycle trough date. More
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May 19 2017
U.S. WLI Ticks Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth at 55-week low. More
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May 17 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Edges Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index monthly growth rate falls to 5.5%, a one-year low. More
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May 12 2017
U.S. WLI Ticks Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth at 54-week low. More
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May 08 2017
Wage Growth Widely Misunderstood
Addressing the paradox of falling wage growth as the economy accelerates. More
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May 05 2017
Jobs Data in Cyclical Perspective
Healthy jobs report fits with upturn in economic growth flagged by ECRI months ago. More
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May 05 2017
U.S. WLI Increases
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth at one-year low. More
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May 05 2017
U.S. FIG Remains Elevated
The U.S. Future Inflation Gauge stayed near its highest readings since 2008. More
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May 02 2017
Near-term Pop, Long-term Drop
Pre-election U.S. cycle upturn is holding, but a different cyclical downturn is coming into focus. More
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Apr 28 2017
U.S. WLI Decreases
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down. More
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Apr 21 2017
U.S. WLI Slipped
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreased. More
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Apr 19 2017
Levy Economics Institute
"America First" in Perspective
Presentation slides & notes presented at this week's Minsky conference. More
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Apr 13 2017
U.S. WLI Edged Up
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate eased. More
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Apr 12 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Ticked Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index monthly growth rate decreased to 7.8%. More
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Apr 10 2017
Incredible Rush to Exceptional India
Markets are catching up to the "Exceptional India" call ECRI made last September. More
Testimonial
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI's insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI's indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
"eerily accurate"
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm. Jan. 2005
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
