News & Events
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Jul 31 2017
Phillips Curveball
It is the U.S. Future Inflation Gauge, "not the Phillips curve", that provides early warning of an inflation upturn. More
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Jul 28 2017
Weekly Leading Index Slips
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to 2.8%. More
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Jul 21 2017
Weekly Leading Index Rises
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges up to 2.6%. More
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Jul 19 2017
U.S. Long Leading Index: A Primer
The value of the ECRI's U.S. Long Leading Index (USLLI) lies in its ability to spot cyclical turns in the level of economic activity before conventional leading indexes. More
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Jul 18 2017
All Signs Point to a Cyclical Slowdown in Inflation
Even as central bankers get more hawkish, the data show there's a change underway that the Fed is likely to miss. More
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Jul 14 2017
Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
The U.S. WLI growth rate ticked down to 2.4, a 66-week low. More
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Jul 11 2017
Monthly U.S. WLI Falls
Monthly data for ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index shows its growth rate falling to 2.9%, a 15-month low. More
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Jul 07 2017
Reuters: Jobs, Wages & the Fed
The Future Inflation Gauge does not use the Philips curve, or extrapolation. More
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Jul 07 2017
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up
The U.S. WLI growth rate slips to a 64-week low. More
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Jul 07 2017
Future Inflation Gauge Edges Up
The U.S. FIG edged up in June after having dropped noticeably in May. More
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Jul 07 2017
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge: A Primer
Value of U.S. Future Inflation Gauge lies in its ability to predict inflation cycle turns. More
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Jun 30 2017
Weekly Leading Index Eases
The U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate fell to a 63-week low of 3.0%. More
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Jun 26 2017
China Trade Masks Key U.S. Gains
The U.S. goods trade deficit has tripled since recession, masking doubling in services trade surplus. More
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Jun 23 2017
U.S. WLI Ticks Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips to a 62-week low. More
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Jun 16 2017
New Interview with Real Vision
ECRI's Achuthan spoke with Real Vision TV about the 2017 cyclical outlook, and more. More
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Jun 16 2017
U.S. WLI Edges Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases to a 60-week low. More
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Jun 13 2017
Higher Inflation "Should Be Celebrated"
We ask the experts whether inflation's dormant years are over and how to handle its return. More
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Jun 13 2017
Turning Points: The Long and Short of It
Here are the key turning points underpinning the economic angst that won't go away. More
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Jun 09 2017
U.S. WLI Increases
U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate at a 59-week low. More
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Jun 08 2017
U.S. WLI Monthly Ticks Down
U.S. Weekly Leading Index monthly growth rate slips to 4.5%, a 14-month low. More
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