News & Events
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Feb 06 2019
ECRI Indexes Lead Global PMI
Because ECRI leading indexes turn before the PMIs that shape the consensus, they are key to managing cycle risk. More
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Feb 05 2019
China Slowing Hits Commodity Exporters
ECRI’s Achuthan discusses commodity price inflation and the latest Chinese industrial outlook. More
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Feb 01 2019
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index fell, but its smoothed growth rate recovered to -4.3%. More
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Jan 30 2019
Cycles, the Fed & Recession Risk
ECRI's Achuthan discusses our cycle work, and how the reality of and how the Fed and recession risk. More
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Jan 28 2019
Turning Points in Global Growth & Market Risk
Global economic growth continues to slow, as ECRI correctly called a year ago, but no recession imminent. More
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Jan 26 2019
Updating Stock Price Corrections Call
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan shares an update on our cyclical risk of stock price corrections call. More
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Jan 25 2019
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to -5.3%. More
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Jan 17 2019
Interview: The Fed, Markets, Growth & Inflation
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan discussed our outlook for growth and inflation along with a discussion on markets and the Fed’s December blink. More
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Jan 11 2019
Weekly Leading Index Increases
While ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index level rose, its smoothed growth rate fell further to -6.5%. More
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Jan 04 2019
Colliding With the Economic Cycle – Again
As in 2016, the Fed’s rate hike plans have been on a collision course with the economic cycle. ECRI saw it coming. More
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Jan 04 2019
Weekly Leading Index Falls Again
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines further to -5.3%. More
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Jan 02 2019
ECRI Industrial Price Index Continues to Drop
ECRI’s industrial price index is a critical tool for monitoring the risk of cycle turns in commodity price inflation. More
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Dec 31 2018
2018 Cycle Calls
ECRI’s 2018 real-time track record and a look at what comes next. More
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Dec 28 2018
Weekly Leading Index Falls
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines to -4.4%. More
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Dec 21 2018
"Eyes Wide Open," but the Fed is Just Staring at the Stars
ECRI joins CNBC to discuss the ongoing cyclical downturns in economic growth and inflation, and future Fed rate hikes. More
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Dec 21 2018
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate was unchanged at -3.9%. More
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Dec 20 2018
A Growing Economy Can Be Mauled By a Bear Market
5 bear markets since World War II have occurred when economic growth was positive, but decelerating. More
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Dec 19 2018
RBI’s MPC Minutes and ECRI
Growth in the Indian Leading Index, a predictor of the direction of Indian economic growth maintained by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), New York, has risen lately. More
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Dec 18 2018
The Telegraph
Credit Markets Signal Recession in Early 2019
“Fed policy is too tight given that inflation peaked in July. They overstayed their welcome.” More
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Dec 17 2018
Cycle Turns & Equity Corrections
Our earlier warning of elevated stock price correction risks will stay in place until ECRI’s leading indexes see the slowdown ending. More
Upcoming Events
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May05
Upcoming 29th Annual Minsky Conference
Levy Economics Institute May 5, 2021
Testimonial
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
Your work stands alone in the industry. I wholeheartedly value and endorse your service!
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm. Jan. 2005
I find that ECRI's historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
