News & Events
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Jan 30 2019
Cycles, the Fed & Recession Risk
ECRI's Achuthan discusses our cycle work, and how the reality of and how the Fed and recession risk. More
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Jan 28 2019
Turning Points in Global Growth & Market Risk
Global economic growth continues to slow, as ECRI correctly called a year ago, but no recession imminent. More
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Jan 26 2019
Updating Stock Price Corrections Call
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan shares an update on our cyclical risk of stock price corrections call. More
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Jan 17 2019
Interview: The Fed, Markets, Growth & Inflation
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan discussed our outlook for growth and inflation along with a discussion on markets and the Fed’s December blink. More
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Jan 04 2019
As in 2016, the Fed’s rate hike plans have been on a collision course with the economic cycle. ECRI saw it coming. More
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Jan 02 2019
ECRI Industrial Price Index Continues to Drop
ECRI’s industrial price index is a critical tool for monitoring the risk of cycle turns in commodity price inflation. More
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Dec 31 2018
2018 Cycle Calls
ECRI’s 2018 real-time track record and a look at what comes next. More
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Dec 21 2018
"Eyes Wide Open," but the Fed is Just Staring at the Stars
ECRI joins CNBC to discuss the ongoing cyclical downturns in economic growth and inflation, and future Fed rate hikes. More
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Dec 20 2018
A Growing Economy Can Be Mauled By a Bear Market
5 bear markets since World War II have occurred when economic growth was positive, but decelerating. More
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Dec 19 2018
Growth in the Indian Leading Index, a predictor of the direction of Indian economic growth maintained by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), New York, has risen lately. More
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Dec 18 2018
The Telegraph
Credit Markets Signal Recession in Early 2019
“Fed policy is too tight given that inflation peaked in July. They overstayed their welcome.” More
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Dec 17 2018
Cycle Turns & Equity Corrections
Our earlier warning of elevated stock price correction risks will stay in place until ECRI’s leading indexes see the slowdown ending. More
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Dec 13 2018
What the Fed is Getting Wrong
The Fed and many market participants don’t really understand that inflation is cyclical. More
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Dec 13 2018
Inflation Cycles Down as Fed Stays Starstruck
Oblivious of the ongoing inflation cycle downturn, the Fed is still navigating “by the stars.” More
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Dec 12 2018
Inflation is Cyclical
ECRI joins CNBC to discuss how most don’t understand that inflation is cyclical, and how that impacts the debate around Fed rate hike expectations. More
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Dec 07 2018
ECRI's Achuthan discusses the ongoing economic slowdown and inflation cycle downturn that the consensus is now catching up to. More
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Dec 07 2018
Falling Growth in Hours Worked
The slowdown ECRI flagged in the spring is coming into focus. More
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Nov 30 2018
Oil Price Plunge Foretold by Commodity Price Slide
As usual, the recent collapse in oil prices followed a cyclical downturn in industrial commodity price inflation. More
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Nov 12 2018
Construction Crumbling
A decisive deterioration in the construction sector outlook has occurred in the context of the worrisome downturn in home price growth. More
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Nov 08 2018
Interview Updating Market Correction Call
The cyclical risk of stock market corrections remains elevated as U.S. economic growth continues to slow. More
Testimonial
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
This approach works like a charm.
I find that ECRI's historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.