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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Related Insights

Cyclical Misconceptions Driving Policy Errors: Keys to the Productivity Puzzle

ECRI June 1, 2016

Policies rooted in overly optimistic assumptions about trend growth and mistaken notions about business cycle dynamics are key to the "productivity puzzle."

 

Related News & Events

Sustained 3 to 4% GDP Growth Is A Huge Stretch

NBR December 1, 2016

We’d need double the productivity growth of the Reagan years. More

 

All of a Sudden, Inflation Fears Intensify

ECRI November 17, 2016

The upturn in inflation, which ECRI predicted many months ago, has now become a significant concern. More