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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Related News & Events

Amid Structural Lowflation, World Exports Decline

ECRI August 31, 2016

As we first showed in early 2015, and expanded on this summer, trade continues to languish, with year-over-year global export volume growth slipping back below zero. More

 

U.S. Coincident Index Growth Rate Unchanged

ECRI August 17, 2016

Year-over-year growth in the USCI, a broad measure of economic activity, remained at a 30-month low. More

 

Stagflation Lite Getting Harder to Ignore

ECRI July 27, 2016

ECRI’s U.S. Coincident Index growth has been in a clear downtrend since the beginning of 2015. More

 

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