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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Related News & Events

Flashback to “Simple Math: ½% + ½% = 1%”

ECRI November 20, 2015

The Fed has acknowledged what we have been saying – that simple math shows trend US GDP growth heading toward 1%. More

 

2008 Flashback: The Risk of Redefining Recession

CNN November 13, 2015

Ignorance about recessions has taken hold because of a simplistic idea that a recession is two successive quarterly declines in GDP, a measure of the nation's output. More

 

The Case of the Wage Inflation Deception

ECRI November 9, 2015

“There is nothing more deceptive than an obvious fact.” More

 

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