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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Related News & Events

Phillips Curveball

ECRI July 31, 2017

It is the U.S. Future Inflation Gauge, "not the Phillips curve", that provides early warning of an inflation upturn. More

 

All Signs Point to a Cyclical Slowdown in Inflation

Bloomberg July 18, 2017

Even as central bankers get more hawkish, the data show there's a change underway that the Fed is likely to miss. More

 

RBI Considers Leading Indicators

Cogencis August 1, 2017

ECRI's leading indicator approach differs from standard econometric models. More

 

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