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Phillips Curveball

ECRI July 31, 2017

It is the U.S. Future Inflation Gauge, "not the Phillips curve", that provides early warning of an inflation upturn. More


All Signs Point to a Cyclical Slowdown in Inflation

Bloomberg July 18, 2017

Even as central bankers get more hawkish, the data show there's a change underway that the Fed is likely to miss. More


RBI Considers Leading Indicators

Cogencis August 1, 2017

ECRI's leading indicator approach differs from standard econometric models. More


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