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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

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Related News & Events

Phillips Curveball

ECRI July 31, 2017

It is the U.S. Future Inflation Gauge – not the Phillips curve – that provides early warning of an inflation upturn. More

 

All Signs Point to a Cyclical Slowdown in Inflation

Bloomberg July 18, 2017

Even as central bankers get more hawkish, the data show there's a change underway that the Fed is likely to miss. More

 

RBI Considers Leading Indicators

Cogencis August 1, 2017

ECRI's leading indicator approach differs from standard econometric models. More

 

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