News & Events

  • Apr 17 2014

    Weekly Leading Index Unchanged

    In March, the U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rose to 2.9% from 1.6% in February, but was down from 4.0% in January. More

  • Apr 11 2014

    ECRI WLI Up

    The index itself increased to 134.9 from 133.5. More

  • Apr 04 2014

    U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Dips

    "With the dip in the USFIG pushing it further below its earlier highs, underlying inflation pressures remain restrained" More

  • Apr 04 2014

    Eurozone inflation pressures muted

    Inflationary pressures remain muted in the eurozone, doing little to allay fears about deflation in the 18-nation bloc, an indicator designed to predict cyclical trends showed. More

  • Apr 04 2014

    ECRI WLI Unchanged

    The index itself was unchanged at 133.6. More

  • Apr 03 2014

    Cycle Peak for Russia

    Today ECRI is announcing a new Russian growth rate cycle peak in December 2011. More

  • Mar 28 2014

    ECRI WLI Ticks Up

    The index itself increased to 133.5 from 133.0. More

  • Mar 21 2014

    ECRI WLI Ticks Down

    The index itself fell to 132.9 from 133.6. More

  • Mar 14 2014

    ECRI WLI Edges Up

    The upturn follows a sharp slowdown in growth during late January and February. More

  • Mar 14 2014

    Price Signals of Global Slack

    World trade price growth has seen almost continuous deflation since early 2012, and its renewed weakness suggests even more slack in the global economy. More

  • Mar 07 2014

    Growth Rate Cycle Dates for China

    Today ECRI is announcing new Chinese growth rate cycle dates, a trough in Dec. 2010, and a peak in Feb. 2012. More

  • Mar 07 2014

    ECRI WLI Up

    According to the Economic Cycle Research Institute, its weekly leading index grew 1.9% in the week ended Feb. 28, up slightly from 1.7% in the previous week. More

  • Mar 07 2014

    U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises

    "Despite its recent uptick, the USFIG remains below its earlier highs," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release, "Thus, underlying inflation pressures are still in check." More

  • Mar 07 2014

    Euro zone inflationary pressures still subdued

    Euro zone inflation pressures, while having edged up, remain subdued. More

  • Feb 28 2014

    ECRI WLI Ticking Down

    Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity continues to weaken. More

  • Feb 21 2014

    ECRI WLI Growth Slips

    Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity continues to weaken. More

  • Feb 14 2014

    ECRI WLI Drops

    Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity took a steep step down last week. More

  • Feb 12 2014

    New Growth Rate Cycle Dates for Germany, France, Italy & Spain

    Today ECRI is announcing new growth rate cycle trough dates for Germany, France, Italy and Spain. More

  • Feb 08 2014

    Failure to Launch

    As ECRI had predicted, the recent consensus that the economy was "taking off" has turned out to be dead wrong, with U.S. growth falling sharply of late. More

  • Feb 07 2014

    ECRI WLI Slips

    The index itself fell to 133.2 from 133.7. More

Testimonial

ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
- The Economist
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation… The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
- Grant's Interest Rate Observer
I find that ECRI’s historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
- ECRI Professional Member
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
- Harvard Business Review
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
- ECRI Professional Member
"eerily accurate"
- National Public Radio
           

Our Track Record

ECRI Services

Highlights of ECRI's calls.

View the Timeline