News & Events
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Aug 01 2022
Interview: Why Economic Cycles Matter For Investors and the Overall Market
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on The Jay Martin Show. More
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Jul 29 2022
Opinion: The Types Of Jobs To Look For (And Avoid) During A Recession
Strike while the job market is hot, rather than after things have gone cold. More
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Jul 28 2022
Does Two Down Quarters of GDP Mean Recession?
There is much confusion around recession definition and GDP. More
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Jul 18 2022
An Unrivaled Track Record
Suddenly everyone’s a recession expert. Yet, most don’t know what a recession is, let alone correctly predicted one. More
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Jul 08 2022
Interview: Jobs, The Fed & Recession Risk
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance Live. More
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Jul 06 2022
Interview: Updated Public Outlook
Lakshman Achuthan joins the Forex Analytix's F.A.C.E webinar. More
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Jun 27 2022
Podcast: What The Business Cycle Is Telling Us About A Recession
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan shares a public update. More
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Jun 10 2022
Interview: U.S. Inflation, The Fed and Recession Risk
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance Live show. More
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Jun 01 2022
Input to a Decision-Making Process
A key reason for ECRI as an input to a decision-making process is evident by reviewing the periods when we diverged from the consensus in real-time. More
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May 26 2022
Opinion: It's Time To Prepare For A Recession
The economy is close to entering a recession, perhaps as soon as this year. To avoid taking too much of a financial hit, Americans will need to prepare. More
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May 05 2022
Translating Cycle Research Into Actionable Insights
U.S. economic growth has a major impact on investment strategy and business decisions. More
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Mar 14 2022
Podcast: U.S. Economic Growth, Fed Policy & Inflation Cycle
Public outlook updates on U.S. economic growth, Fed policy, and insight on our inflation cycle upturn call. More
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Feb 08 2022
From Gung-Ho to the “R–Word”
ECRI’s process is designed to place decision-makers ahead of the curves in inflation and economic growth, regardless of the salient narrative dominating the headlines. More
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Jan 06 2022
Interview on Inflation, The Fed & Recession Risks
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the inflation cycle, the Fed and recession risks. More
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Dec 18 2021
Fed Risks Policy Mistake
Either the Fed pivots yet again to turn more dovish next year, or it stays the course and something breaks – meaning serious recession risk. More
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Dec 10 2021
Inflation and Consumer Spending Update
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance discussing inflation and consumer spending. More
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Dec 03 2021
Jobs Growth Trending Down
Jobs growth continues its clear downtrend. More
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Dec 02 2021
Growth Slowdowns and Markets
Slowdowns in economic growth see a flattening in the Dow and Russell 2000 punctuated by sharp spikes down. More
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Nov 24 2021
Checking In on Inflation
One of the most interesting things about cycles is that they turn, always. More
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Nov 18 2021
Consumer Spending Cools Off
In sharp contrast to the prevailing optimism, ECRI analysis shows consumer spending is in a cyclical slowdown that will weigh on holiday sales. More
Testimonial
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
"eerily accurate"
This approach works like a charm.
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock - deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
(ECRI's) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation-. The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
