News & Events
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Mar 07 2014
Growth Rate Cycle Dates for China
Today ECRI is announcing new Chinese growth rate cycle dates, a trough in Dec. 2010, and a peak in Feb. 2012. More
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Mar 07 2014
ECRI WLI Up
According to the Economic Cycle Research Institute, its weekly leading index grew 1.9% in the week ended Feb. 28, up slightly from 1.7% in the previous week. More
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Mar 07 2014
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
"Despite its recent uptick, the USFIG remains below its earlier highs," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release, "Thus, underlying inflation pressures are still in check." More
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Mar 07 2014
Euro zone inflationary pressures still subdued
Euro zone inflation pressures, while having edged up, remain subdued. More
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Feb 28 2014
ECRI WLI Ticking Down
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity continues to weaken. More
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Feb 21 2014
ECRI WLI Growth Slips
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity continues to weaken. More
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Feb 14 2014
ECRI WLI Drops
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity took a steep step down last week. More
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Feb 12 2014
New Growth Rate Cycle Dates for Germany, France, Italy & Spain
Today ECRI is announcing new growth rate cycle trough dates for Germany, France, Italy and Spain. More
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Feb 08 2014
Failure to Launch
As ECRI had predicted, the recent consensus that the economy was "taking off" has turned out to be dead wrong, with U.S. growth falling sharply of late. More
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Feb 07 2014
ECRI WLI Slips
The index itself fell to 133.2 from 133.7. More
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Feb 07 2014
US Future Inflation Gauge Ticks Up
"The USFIG stands well below its earlier highs, and is still close to October's 22-month low," ECRI said in a release, "Thus, underlying inflation pressures remain restrained." More
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Feb 07 2014
Inflationary pressures easing in euro zone
Inflationary pressures in the euro zone remain in a downtrend, likely adding to fears about deflation in the 18-nation bloc. More
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Jan 31 2014
Weekly Leading Index Steady
The WLI held steady at 133.8. More
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Jan 24 2014
ECRI WLI Ticks Down
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity is picking up strength. More
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Jan 22 2014
Secular Stagnation
GDP growth (yoy) has been less than 2% for four straight quarters, something we’ve never seen except during or right after a recession. More
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Jan 17 2014
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity showed a burst of momentum last week. More
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Jan 15 2014
BNN
Cyclical & Secular Outlook
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined BNN to discuss the cyclical outlook. More
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Jan 14 2014
Cyclical Outlook
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC this morning to discuss the cyclical outlook. More
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Jan 14 2014
Job Growth Not Trending Higher
Even ignoring December data, the household survey, which sees far smaller revisions, counts a million fewer jobs created over the prior 12 months than the establishment survey. More
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Jan 10 2014
ECRI WLI Rises
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity gathered strength last week. More
Testimonial
Congrats on having the only coherent analysis available.
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock – deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
This approach works like a charm.
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
