News & Events
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Aug 01 2022
Interview: Why Economic Cycles Matter For Investors and the Overall Market
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on The Jay Martin Show. More
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Jul 29 2022
Opinion: The Types Of Jobs To Look For (And Avoid) During A Recession
Strike while the job market is hot, rather than after things have gone cold. More
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Jul 28 2022
Does Two Down Quarters of GDP Mean Recession?
There is much confusion around recession definition and GDP. More
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Jul 18 2022
An Unrivaled Track Record
Suddenly everyone’s a recession expert. Yet, most don’t know what a recession is, let alone correctly predicted one. More
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Jul 08 2022
Interview: Jobs, The Fed & Recession Risk
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance Live. More
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Jul 06 2022
Interview: Updated Public Outlook
Lakshman Achuthan joins the Forex Analytix's F.A.C.E webinar. More
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Jun 27 2022
Podcast: What The Business Cycle Is Telling Us About A Recession
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan shares a public update. More
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Jun 10 2022
Interview: U.S. Inflation, The Fed and Recession Risk
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance Live show. More
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Jun 01 2022
Input to a Decision-Making Process
A key reason for ECRI as an input to a decision-making process is evident by reviewing the periods when we diverged from the consensus in real-time. More
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May 26 2022
Opinion: It's Time To Prepare For A Recession
The economy is close to entering a recession, perhaps as soon as this year. To avoid taking too much of a financial hit, Americans will need to prepare. More
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May 05 2022
Translating Cycle Research Into Actionable Insights
U.S. economic growth has a major impact on investment strategy and business decisions. More
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Mar 14 2022
Podcast: U.S. Economic Growth, Fed Policy & Inflation Cycle
Public outlook updates on U.S. economic growth, Fed policy, and insight on our inflation cycle upturn call. More
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Feb 08 2022
From Gung-Ho to the “R–Word”
ECRI’s process is designed to place decision-makers ahead of the curves in inflation and economic growth, regardless of the salient narrative dominating the headlines. More
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Jan 06 2022
Interview on Inflation, The Fed & Recession Risks
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the inflation cycle, the Fed and recession risks. More
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Dec 18 2021
Fed Risks Policy Mistake
Either the Fed pivots yet again to turn more dovish next year, or it stays the course and something breaks – meaning serious recession risk. More
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Dec 10 2021
Inflation and Consumer Spending Update
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance discussing inflation and consumer spending. More
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Dec 03 2021
Jobs Growth Trending Down
Jobs growth continues its clear downtrend. More
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Dec 02 2021
Growth Slowdowns and Markets
Slowdowns in economic growth see a flattening in the Dow and Russell 2000 punctuated by sharp spikes down. More
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Nov 24 2021
Checking In on Inflation
One of the most interesting things about cycles is that they turn, always. More
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Nov 18 2021
Consumer Spending Cools Off
In sharp contrast to the prevailing optimism, ECRI analysis shows consumer spending is in a cyclical slowdown that will weigh on holiday sales. More
Testimonial
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock - deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
(ECRI's) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
Your work stands alone in the industry. I wholeheartedly value and endorse your service!
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
