News & Events
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Aug 18 2022
The State of The Economy
Lakshman Achuthan joins the TradeGATEHub LIVE Trading webcast. More
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Aug 11 2022
The Business Cycle Returns
Rip-your-face-off stock market rallies happen in recessions before lower lows. Is that what’s happening now? More
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Aug 01 2022
Interview: Why Economic Cycles Matter For Investors and the Overall Market
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on The Jay Martin Show. More
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Jul 30 2022
Why Some People Actually Want A Recession (And Others Say That's Crazy)
Recessions can be cleansing events for the economy as a whole, forcing inefficient behemoths out of business and making room for more nimble competitors who can better satisfy customer needs. More
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Jul 29 2022
Opinion: The Types Of Jobs To Look For (And Avoid) During A Recession
Strike while the job market is hot, rather than after things have gone cold. More
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Jul 28 2022
Does Two Down Quarters of GDP Mean Recession?
There is much confusion around recession definition and GDP. More
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Jul 18 2022
An Unrivaled Track Record
Suddenly everyone’s a recession expert. Yet, most don’t know what a recession is, let alone correctly predicted one. More
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Jul 08 2022
Interview: Jobs, The Fed & Recession Risk
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance Live. More
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Jul 06 2022
Interview: Updated Public Outlook
Lakshman Achuthan joins the Forex Analytix's F.A.C.E webinar. More
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Jun 27 2022
Podcast: What The Business Cycle Is Telling Us About A Recession
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan shares a public update. More
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Jun 10 2022
Interview: U.S. Inflation, The Fed and Recession Risk
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance Live show. More
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Jun 01 2022
Input to a Decision-Making Process
A key reason for ECRI as an input to a decision-making process is evident by reviewing the periods when we diverged from the consensus in real-time. More
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May 26 2022
Opinion: It's Time To Prepare For A Recession
The economy is close to entering a recession, perhaps as soon as this year. To avoid taking too much of a financial hit, Americans will need to prepare. More
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May 05 2022
Translating Cycle Research Into Actionable Insights
U.S. economic growth has a major impact on investment strategy and business decisions. More
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Mar 14 2022
Podcast: U.S. Economic Growth, Fed Policy & Inflation Cycle
Public outlook updates on U.S. economic growth, Fed policy, and insight on our inflation cycle upturn call. More
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Feb 08 2022
From Gung-Ho to the “R–Word”
ECRI’s process is designed to place decision-makers ahead of the curves in inflation and economic growth, regardless of the salient narrative dominating the headlines. More
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Jan 06 2022
Interview on Inflation, The Fed & Recession Risks
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the inflation cycle, the Fed and recession risks. More
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Dec 18 2021
Fed Risks Policy Mistake
Either the Fed pivots yet again to turn more dovish next year, or it stays the course and something breaks – meaning serious recession risk. More
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Dec 10 2021
Inflation and Consumer Spending Update
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's interview on Yahoo Finance discussing inflation and consumer spending. More
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Dec 03 2021
Jobs Growth Trending Down
Jobs growth continues its clear downtrend. More
Testimonial
...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
I find that ECRI's historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
