News & Events
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Apr 16 2021
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 25.0%. More
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Apr 09 2021
Weekly Leading Index Edges Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down to 25.1%. More
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Apr 05 2021
Biden Boom Teed Up Under Trump
Presidents typically get too much credit -- or blame -- for the US economy's current performance, while the unseen drivers of the economic cycle get way too little. More
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Apr 02 2021
Cycle Dynamics in Recovery from Covid Crisis
ECRI’s framework, based on objective leading indexes, provides essential insights for cycle risk management as the recovery from Covid evolves. More
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Apr 02 2021
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises further to 25.5%. More
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Mar 26 2021
Weekly Leading Index Moves Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 26.2%. More
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Mar 19 2021
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 25.6%. More
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Mar 11 2021
Inflation Cycle & 10-Year Yields
Watch ECRI's discussion on CNBC Trading Nation yesterday regarding the inflation cycle and 10-year treasury yields. More
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Mar 11 2021
Treasury Yield Trend Suggests No Relief From Higher Rates
Even though the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield touched a one-week low on Wednesday, Lakshman Achuthan believes the path forward is higher. More
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Mar 05 2021
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases further to 22.9%. More
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Mar 05 2021
Inflation Cycle View Provides Clarity
Managing cyclical risk means anticipating cyclical swings in economic growth and also inflation, where getting the cyclical direction wrong can be devastating. More
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Feb 26 2021
Weekly Leading Index Rises
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 22.1%. More
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Feb 19 2021
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down to 21.2%. More
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Feb 16 2021
Case Study: U.S. Inflation – Cyclical Insights
The 2016 upturn in U.S. inflation shows how ECRI’s cyclical framework of leading indexes benefitted decision-makers. More
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Feb 12 2021
Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises to 22.1%. More
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Feb 05 2021
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate increases to 21.6%. More
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Feb 01 2021
Gamestop and Market Volatility
The Fed and Wall Street are a bit untethered and susceptible to the narrative. More
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Jan 29 2021
Smooth Reflation Sailing (For Now...)
Long-form interview sharing our outlook on economic growth, inflation, and markets. More
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Jan 29 2021
Weekly Leading Index Edges Down
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rises further to 19.0%. More
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Jan 22 2021
What Is The Risk of a Major Market Correction?
With stocks near all-time highs, there’s increasing concern about a market correction, or worse. More
Upcoming Events
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May05
Upcoming 29th Annual Minsky Conference
Levy Economics Institute May 5, 2021
Testimonial
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms. Oct. 2011
Your work stands alone in the industry. I wholeheartedly value and endorse your service!
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
This approach works like a charm.
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction - even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that - lead where things were headed.
"eerily accurate"
