News & Events
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Apr 17 2014
Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
In March, the U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate rose to 2.9% from 1.6% in February, but was down from 4.0% in January. More
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Apr 11 2014
ECRI WLI Up
The index itself increased to 134.9 from 133.5. More
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Apr 04 2014
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Dips
"With the dip in the USFIG pushing it further below its earlier highs, underlying inflation pressures remain restrained" More
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Apr 04 2014
Eurozone inflation pressures muted
Inflationary pressures remain muted in the eurozone, doing little to allay fears about deflation in the 18-nation bloc, an indicator designed to predict cyclical trends showed. More
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Apr 04 2014
ECRI WLI Unchanged
The index itself was unchanged at 133.6. More
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Apr 03 2014
Cycle Peak for Russia
Today ECRI is announcing a new Russian growth rate cycle peak in December 2011. More
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Mar 28 2014
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
The index itself increased to 133.5 from 133.0. More
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Mar 21 2014
ECRI WLI Ticks Down
The index itself fell to 132.9 from 133.6. More
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Mar 14 2014
ECRI WLI Edges Up
The upturn follows a sharp slowdown in growth during late January and February. More
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Mar 14 2014
Price Signals of Global Slack
World trade price growth has seen almost continuous deflation since early 2012, and its renewed weakness suggests even more slack in the global economy. More
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Mar 07 2014
Growth Rate Cycle Dates for China
Today ECRI is announcing new Chinese growth rate cycle dates, a trough in Dec. 2010, and a peak in Feb. 2012. More
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Mar 07 2014
ECRI WLI Up
According to the Economic Cycle Research Institute, its weekly leading index grew 1.9% in the week ended Feb. 28, up slightly from 1.7% in the previous week. More
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Mar 07 2014
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
"Despite its recent uptick, the USFIG remains below its earlier highs," ECRI Chief Operations Officer Lakshman Achuthan said in a release, "Thus, underlying inflation pressures are still in check." More
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Mar 07 2014
Euro zone inflationary pressures still subdued
Euro zone inflation pressures, while having edged up, remain subdued. More
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Feb 28 2014
ECRI WLI Ticking Down
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity continues to weaken. More
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Feb 21 2014
ECRI WLI Growth Slips
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity continues to weaken. More
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Feb 14 2014
ECRI WLI Drops
Growth in a weekly leading index designed to forecast U.S. economic activity took a steep step down last week. More
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Feb 12 2014
New Growth Rate Cycle Dates for Germany, France, Italy & Spain
Today ECRI is announcing new growth rate cycle trough dates for Germany, France, Italy and Spain. More
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Feb 08 2014
Failure to Launch
As ECRI had predicted, the recent consensus that the economy was "taking off" has turned out to be dead wrong, with U.S. growth falling sharply of late. More
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Feb 07 2014
ECRI WLI Slips
The index itself fell to 133.2 from 133.7. More
Testimonial
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation… The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
I find that ECRI’s historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
"eerily accurate"
