News & Events
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Dec 03 2021
Jobs Growth Trending Down
Jobs growth continues its clear downtrend. More
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Dec 02 2021
Growth Slowdowns and Markets
Slowdowns in economic growth see a flattening in the Dow and Russell 2000 punctuated by sharp spikes down. More
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Nov 24 2021
Checking In on Inflation
One of the most interesting things about cycles is that they turn, always. More
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Nov 18 2021
Consumer Spending Cools Off
In sharp contrast to the prevailing optimism, ECRI analysis shows consumer spending is in a cyclical slowdown that will weigh on holiday sales. More
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Nov 17 2021
Contrarian Call Suggests Consumers Are In Trouble This Holiday Season
“There’s still this narrative that the rebound is there,” the Economic Cycle Research Institute co-founder told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Wednesday. More
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Nov 09 2021
Checking In on China
ECRI's Achuthan shares thoughts on recent events in Chinese growth and inflation. More
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Oct 19 2021
Proactive Decision Making
ECRI’s framework for monitoring economic cycles gives us much greater foresight and unwavering conviction, without being jerked around by shifting narratives. More
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Oct 08 2021
Job Growth Eases
Job growth has eased in line with our earlier call. More
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Sep 17 2021
Downturn In The Global Industrial Economy
A lot of people are excited about the runup in commodities. We’re saying directionally you got to look the other way. More
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Sep 17 2021
Cooling Commodity Currencies
Watch Lakshman Achuthan's discussion on CNBC Trading Nation on global industrial slowdown call and industrial commodity price inflation. More
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Sep 15 2021
What would Lee Iacocca do?
Companies are routinely blindsided by cyclical changes in the direction of growth that aren’t really Black Swans. More
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Sep 10 2021
Slowdown, Dead Ahead!
Deep dive into where we are now in the business cycle. More
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Sep 10 2021
Weekly Leading Index Increases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips. More
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Sep 09 2021
Managing Equity Market Risk
It’s important to understand that major corrections are linked to cyclical downturns in economic growth. More
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Sep 07 2021
Monitoring Cycles To Manage Risk
Watch our webinar about our U.S. slowdown call, including lots of Q&A. More
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Sep 03 2021
Cyclical Dynamics in Recovery
We know what happens following recovery from deep recessions. More
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Sep 03 2021
Weekly Leading Index Edges Up
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate declines. More
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Sep 03 2021
U.S. Slowdown Call On-demand Webinar
The way you monitor cycles is central to managing risk. More
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Sep 02 2021
Interview: Cycles in Growth, Inflation, EM and More
Watch this long-form Real Vision interview for details into ECRI's process and cycles in growth, inflation, EM, China and more. More
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Aug 27 2021
Weekly Leading Index Decreases
ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate drops. More
Testimonial
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI's array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
"eerily accurate"
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm. Jan. 2005
This approach works like a charm.
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
