Contact Us

FAQs

How does ECRI forecast turning points in the economy?

ECRI insights about shifting cyclical risk are grounded in our array of leading indexes, repeatable process, and long institutional memory.

What is the difference between business cycles and growth rate cycles?

Business cycles consist of the alternating periods of expansion and contraction in the level of economic activity experienced by market-oriented economies.

Even during periods when such economies do not exhibit business cycle contractions, an economy will exhibit growth rate cycles – alternating periods of upswings and downswings in the economy’s rate of growth.

How does ECRI compare to the OECD?

Both theoretically and empirically, ECRI’s leading indexes are. Furthermore, ECRI maintains multiple specialized leading indexes for each economy, and especially for the major developing economies, including China and India, for both of which we were the first to develop leading indexes.

More importantly, ECRI has been studying economic cycles – and forecasting recessions and recoveries – longer and more reliably than anyone, anywhere, and our methods aren’t taught anywhere in the world.

ECRI Services

The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.

Learn More

Testimonial

ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
- Sydney Morning Herald
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
- Fortune Magazine
...a unique set of insights that made me able to cut through a lot of the noise in the market place... the tools ECRI provide in calling decelerating (or accelerating) growth is unmatched.
- ECRI Client
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI's insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI's indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
- ECRI Client
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
- Alan Abelson, Barron's
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
- IMF