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The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms.
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
ECRI continues to be an important resource in determining our tactical allocation. For over a decade their economic cycle forecasts and detailed research topics have been a critical part of our decision making process.
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.