A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

ECRI uses a highly nuanced “many-cycles” view to understand the complex dynamics of the global economy.
To monitor the U.S. economy alone, we use an array of more than a dozen specialized leading indexes in the context of the ECRI framework for incorporating various sectors and aspects of the economy.
The ECRI framework covers 21 economies, incorporating well over 100 proprietary indexes designed to be comparable across borders.

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We are happy to answer any membership inquiries. Please call or use the form below to send us a message and we will respond promptly.

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pro@businesscycle.com
New York: +1 (212) 557-7788●London: +44 (207) 060-1223

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ECRI Services

The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.

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Testimonial

ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm. Jan. 2005

- The Economist

ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.

- Sydney Morning Herald

(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.

- Fortune 100 Company

I find that ECRI’s historical knowledge of economic cycles and data is almost as important to me as your indicators of future cycles.

- ECRI Professional Member

"penetrating analysis"

- The New York Times

In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock – deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.

- ECRI Professional Member