A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

ECRI uses a highly nuanced “many-cycles” view to understand the complex dynamics of the global economy.
To monitor the U.S. economy alone, we use an array of more than a dozen specialized leading indexes in the context of the ECRI framework for incorporating various sectors and aspects of the economy.
The ECRI framework covers 21 economies, incorporating well over 100 proprietary indexes designed to be comparable across borders.

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We are happy to answer any membership inquiries. Please call or use the form below to send us a message and we will respond promptly.

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pro@businesscycle.com
New York: +1 (212) 557-7788●London: +44 (207) 060-1223

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ECRI Services

The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.

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Testimonial

ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.

- Harvard Business Review

[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.

- The New York Times

For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.

- Grant's Interest Rate Observer

This approach works like a charm.

- Forbes Magazine

"penetrating analysis"

- The New York Times

ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.

- IMF