Contact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • February 13, 2018
  • CNBC

Bond quality spread confirming looming economic slowdown

ECRI sees 2018 economic slowdown on tap, and bond market quality spreads agree.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Independent research: contrary to the consensus when it counts.

Weekly Leading Index Decreases

ECRI February 16, 2018

ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down in latest update.   More

Q/A on Economic Slowdown Taking Hold

Seeking Alpha February 16, 2018

The implications of rising rates are more worrisome than realized by most people who are missing ECRI's 2018 slowdown call.   More

Bond quality spread confirming looming economic slowdown

CNBC February 13, 2018

ECRI sees 2018 economic slowdown on tap, and bond market quality spreads agree.   More

Extended Interview on ECRI's Cyclical Outlook

Financial Sense February 9, 2018

ECRI’s Achuthan talks with Financial Sense about the outlook for growth, inflation, wages, and more.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -2.4
Public update:

Feb 16
10:30am

Member update:

Feb 16
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 0.7
Public update:

Feb 02
9:40am

Member update:

Feb 02
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 0.2
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

View the Latest

Upcoming Events

More Events