Contact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • October 16, 2018
  • Grant's

ECRI’s Inflation Downturn Call

Achuthan joined Grant’s podcast to discuss ECRI’s cyclical worldview on inflation, home prices, EM and more.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Independent research: contrary to the consensus when it counts.

Posted October 19, 2018

ECRI Weekly Update

Posted October 18, 2018

U.S. Essentials

Posted October 12, 2018

ECRI Weekly Update

Posted October 10, 2018

International Focus

Featured Past Report Summary:
Posted January 31, 2018

The Best Way to Use the Weekly Leading Index (WLI)

The WLI is part of sequence of leading indexes that together flag cyclical turns in economic growth.   More

Full Report: U.S. Essentials: Jan 19, 2018

Weekly Leading Index Falls

ECRI October 19, 2018

ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips to 0.1%.   More

ECRI’s Inflation Downturn Call

Grant's October 16, 2018

Achuthan joined Grant’s podcast to discuss ECRI’s cyclical worldview on inflation, home prices, EM and more.   More

Worst Home Price Outlook Since 2009

ECRI October 15, 2018

A home price downturn is much more than a possible risk.   More

Housing Market Is Raising Serious Red Flags

Bloomberg October 15, 2018

Real home price growth looks to have already entered a cyclical downturn that is likely to intensify as affordability worsens.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -1.2
Public update:

Oct 19
10:30am

Member update:

Oct 19
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) -0.4
Public update:

Oct 05
9:40am

Member update:

Oct 05
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index -0.3
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

View the Latest

Upcoming Events

More Events