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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • July 17, 2018
  • CNBC

Stealth Slowdown Unfolding

The U.S. consumer is under pressure, and it’s getting worse.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Independent research: contrary to the consensus when it counts.

Posted July 13, 2018

ECRI Weekly Update

Posted July 11, 2018

International Focus

Posted July 06, 2018

ECRI Weekly Update

Posted July 05, 2018

U.S. Focus

Posted June 29, 2018

ECRI Weekly Update

Featured Past Report Summary:
Posted January 31, 2018

The Best Way to Use the Weekly Leading Index (WLI)

The WLI is part of sequence of leading indexes that together flag cyclical turns in economic growth.   More

Full Report: U.S. Essentials: Jan 19, 2018

Stealth Slowdown Unfolding

CNBC July 17, 2018

The U.S. consumer is under pressure, and it’s getting worse.   More

Weekly Leading Index Rises

ECRI July 13, 2018

ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down in latest update.   More

Jobs Report, GDP, and the Fed

Reuters July 6, 2018

ECRI's Achuthan joined Reuters TV to discuss the jobs report, including the employment/population ratio, as well as industrial commodities, GDP and the Fed.   More

Trade War and Recession Risk

Bloomberg July 6, 2018

ECRI’s Achuthan joined Bloomberg TV to discuss global trade and recession risk, the Fed and industrial commodities.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 1.5
Public update:

Jul 13
10:30am

Member update:

Jul 13
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 0.2
Public update:

Jul 06
9:40am

Member update:

Jul 06
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index -0.0
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

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