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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • October 11, 2017
  • ECRI

Consensus Plays Catch Up to Our Global Growth Call

Last February we declared the global outlook to be the brightest since 2010.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Alternative research: contrary to the consensus when it counts.

Weekly Leading Index Edges Up

ECRI October 13, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth ticks up.   More

Consensus Plays Catch Up to Our Global Growth Call

ECRI October 11, 2017

Last February we declared the global outlook to be the brightest since 2010.   More

Weekly Leading Index Increases

ECRI October 6, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up.   More

Don't Count on Ever-Growing Corporate Profit

Bloomberg October 6, 2017

Economic growth is about as good as it gets, and we’re on the cusp of a fresh downturn.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 0.7
Public update:

Oct 13
10:30am

Member update:

Oct 13
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 0.1
Public update:

Oct 06
9:40am

Member update:

Oct 06
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 1.5
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

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