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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • February 23, 2017
  • ECRI

How Reliable Are GDP Consensus Forecasts?

With President Trump in office, economists have been revising their GDP growth forecasts for 2017.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

U.S. WLI Ticked Up

ECRI February 24, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreased.   More

Why Women Aren't Entering the Workforce Like They Were in '90s

Elle February 24, 2017

A new study looks at the trend and the implications for Trump's economic agenda.    More

How Reliable Are GDP Consensus Forecasts?

ECRI February 23, 2017

With President Trump in office, economists have been revising their GDP growth forecasts for 2017.   More

RBI Sees Multiple Fed Rate Hikes

The Financial Express February 23, 2017

In the minutes of the MPC meeting released by the RBI on Wednesday, Patel wrote, “Domestic industrial input and farm costs, including rural wages, have increased in recent months.   More

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Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 0.1
Public update:

Feb 24
10:30am

Member update:

Feb 24
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 0.5
Public update:

Feb 03
9:40am

Member update:

Feb 03
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 0.3
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

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