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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • April 19, 2017
  • Levy Economics Institute

"America First" in Perspective

Presentation slides & notes presented at this week’s Minsky conference.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

Featured Past Report Summary:
Posted January 17, 2017

Disentangling Cyclical from Structural

Our cyclical vantage point helps reduce the risk that cyclical swings are mistaken as evidence of long-term structural changes (slides).   More

Full Report: International Essentials: Dec 28, 2016

U.S. WLI Slips

ECRI April 28, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate edges down.   More

U.S. WLI Slipped

ECRI April 21, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreased.   More

"America First" in Perspective

Levy Economics Institute April 19, 2017

Presentation slides & notes presented at this week’s Minsky conference.   More

U.S. WLI Edged Up

ECRI April 13, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate eased.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -1.0
Public update:

Apr 28
10:30am

Member update:

Apr 28
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) -0.3
Public update:

Apr 07
9:40am

Member update:

Apr 07
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index -1.3
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

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