frameworkContact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • September 29, 2016
  • ECRI

Fed Hold No Surprise

The Fed’s decision to hold rates steady in September is no surprise, as weak GDP growth underscores the slowing U.S. economy.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

U.S. WLI Edged Up

ECRI September 30, 2016

U.S. Weekly Leading Index edged up to 133.0, while the growth rate was virtually unchanged at 8.8%.   More

Fed Hold No Surprise

ECRI September 29, 2016

The Fed’s decision to hold rates steady in September is no surprise, as weak GDP growth underscores the slowing U.S. economy.   More

U.S. Coincident Index Unchanged

ECRI September 27, 2016

The cyclical downturn in U.S. economic growth continues with USCI growth at a 32-month low.   More

U.S. WLI Decreased

ECRI September 23, 2016

U.S. Weekly Leading Index decreased to 138.9, while the growth rate ticked up to 8.8%.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 0.1
Public update:

Sep 30
10:30am

Member update:

Sep 30
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) -0.4
Public update:

Sep 02
9:40am

Member update:

Sep 02
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 0.4
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

View the Latest