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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • May 20, 2019
  • Mauldin Economics SIC

Business Cycle’s Demise Greatly Exaggerated

Business cycles remain part and parcel of every market-oriented economy.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Independent research: contrary to the consensus when it counts.

Posted May 24, 2019

ECRI Weekly Update

Posted May 17, 2019

U.S. Essentials

Posted May 17, 2019

ECRI Weekly Update

Posted May 10, 2019

ECRI Weekly Update

Posted May 08, 2019

U.S. Focus

Featured Past Report Summary:
Posted January 31, 2018

The Best Way to Use the Weekly Leading Index (WLI)

The WLI is part of sequence of leading indexes that together flag cyclical turns in economic growth.   More

Full Report: U.S. Essentials: Jan 19, 2018

Weekly Leading Index Falls

ECRI May 24, 2019

ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index falls as its growth ticks down to 0.0%.   More

Business Cycle’s Demise Greatly Exaggerated

Mauldin Economics SIC May 20, 2019

Business cycles remain part and parcel of every market-oriented economy.   More

Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down

ECRI May 17, 2019

ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading Index edged down as its growth decreases to 0.2%.   More

Industrial Commodities and the Canadian Loonie

BNN Bloomberg April 26, 2019

ECRI’s Achuthan discusses global growth prospects, commodity price inflation and the Canadian loonie.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -0.9
Public update:

May 24
10:30am

Member update:

May 24
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) -0.3
Public update:

May 03
9:40am

Member update:

May 03
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 0.3
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

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