A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • June 13, 2017
  • ECRI

Turning Points: The Long and Short of It

Here are the key turning points underpinning the economic angst that won’t go away.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

U.S. WLI Ticks Down

ECRI June 23, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips to a 62-week low.   More

New Interview with Real Vision

Real Vision TV June 16, 2017

ECRI's Achuthan spoke with Real Vision TV about the 2017 cyclical outlook, and more.   More

U.S. WLI Edges Down

ECRI June 16, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate decreases to a 60-week low.   More

Higher Inflation ‘Should Be Celebrated’

The Times June 13, 2017

We ask the experts whether inflation’s dormant years are over and how to handle its return.   More

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Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -0.3
Public update:

Jun 23

Member update:

Jun 23


USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) -1.4
Public update:

Jun 02

Member update:

Jun 02

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index -1.3
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

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