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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • January 5, 2018
  • Reuters

Jobs Report and 2018 Slowdown

Reuters interview discussing the Dec. jobs report, as well as ECRI's view on cycles in economic growth, including a U.S. slowdown in 2018.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Independent research: contrary to the consensus when it counts.

Weekly Leading Index Edges Up

ECRI January 12, 2018

Latest U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down.   More

Jobs Report and 2018 Slowdown

Reuters January 5, 2018

Reuters interview discussing the Dec. jobs report, as well as ECRI's view on cycles in economic growth, including a U.S. slowdown in 2018.   More

Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up

ECRI January 5, 2018

Today's U.S. Weekly Leading Index update showed its growth rate virtually unchanged.   More

Weekly Leading Index Rises

ECRI December 29, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks up in latest reading.    More

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Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 0.6
Public update:

Jan 12
10:30am

Member update:

Jan 12
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 0.5
Public update:

Jan 05
9:40am

Member update:

Jan 05
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 0.2
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

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