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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • August 14, 2017
  • ECRI

Womenomics Falls Short for Japan

The long-term shift to non-regular work arrangements may actually exacerbate Japan’s demographic challenges.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

Posted August 18, 2017

U.S. Essentials

Posted August 18, 2017

ECRI Weekly Update

Posted August 11, 2017

ECRI Weekly Update

Posted August 09, 2017

International Focus

Posted August 04, 2017

ECRI Weekly Update

Featured Past Report Summary:
Posted April 19, 2017

"America First" in Perspective

Presentation slides & notes presented at this week’s Minsky conference.   More

Full Report: International Essentials: Dec 28, 2016

Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up

ECRI August 18, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate slips to 2.5%.   More

Womenomics Falls Short for Japan

ECRI August 14, 2017

The long-term shift to non-regular work arrangements may actually exacerbate Japan’s demographic challenges.   More

Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged

ECRI August 11, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down to 2.7%.   More

Weekly Leading Index Points to Slowing

ECRI August 8, 2017

Monthly data for ECRI's U.S. WLI shows it rose, while its growth rate ticked down to a 16-month low.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 0.2
Public update:

Aug 18
10:30am

Member update:

Aug 18
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) -0.1
Public update:

Aug 04
9:40am

Member update:

Aug 04
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index -0.2
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

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