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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • February 23, 2015
  • ECRI

The Song Remains the Same

$11,000,000,000,000 is a big number.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

U.S. WLI Edges Up

ECRI February 27, 2015

The U.S. Weekly Leading Index edged up to 130.6 from 130.4. The growth rate ticked down to -4.5% from -4.2%.   More

Cattle Hides Instead of Entrails as Omens of Economy

Bloomberg February 24, 2015

The JoC-ECRI index shows that the slump in industrial commodity prices is a lot broader than just oil, suggesting weakness of demand.   More

The Song Remains the Same

ECRI February 23, 2015

$11,000,000,000,000 is a big number.    More

US Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up

ECRI February 20, 2015

The U.S. Weekly Leading Index ticked up to 130.3 from 130.0. The growth rate virtually unchanged from the previous week at -4.3%.   More

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Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 0.1
Public update:

Feb 27
10:30am

Member update:

Feb 27
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) -1.5
Public update:

Feb 06
9:40am

Member update:

Feb 06
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 0.4
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

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