A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • July 15, 2015
  • ECRI

Recoveries Remain Resilient

The big developed economies — especially in Europe — are not yet vulnerable to recessionary shocks.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Ticks Down

ECRI July 31, 2015

U.S. WLI ticks down to 133.0, growth rate slips to 0.2%.   More

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Edged Up

ECRI July 24, 2015

U.S. WLI edged up to 133.4, growth rate ticked down to 0.3%.   More

New Business and Growth Rate Cycle Dates Determined, Including the U.S., Japan and Germany

ECRI July 20, 2015

New cycle dates for the U.S., Japan, Germany, Brazil, Switzerland, Austria, Taiwan, New Zealand and South Africa.   More

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Slipped

ECRI July 17, 2015

U.S. WLI slipped to 132.6, growth rate decreased to 0.6%.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -0.4
Public update:

Jul 31

Member update:

Jul 31


USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) -0.8
Public update:

Jul 02

Member update:

Jul 02

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 2.3
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

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