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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • April 29, 2015
  • Wall Street Journal

Whiff of Panic, but Sky Not Falling

Wall Street Journal Live talks with ECRI about U.S. economic growth outlook.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Up

ECRI May 1, 2015

The U.S. Weekly Leading Index increased to 134.2, growth rate ticked up to -0.1%.   More

Whiff of Panic, but Sky Not Falling

Wall Street Journal April 29, 2015

Wall Street Journal Live talks with ECRI about U.S. economic growth outlook.   More

A Two-Speed Economy

ECRI April 29, 2015

With economic surprise indexes falling to their most negative readings in years, the “R” word has begun to pop up again.   More

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Rises

ECRI April 24, 2015

The U.S. Weekly Leading Index rose to 133.2.   More

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Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 1.1
Public update:

May 01
10:30am

Member update:

May 01
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) -1.6
Public update:

Apr 03
9:40am

Member update:

Apr 03
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index -1.0
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

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