A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • February 6, 2017

Immigration, Women, Key to Job Growth Goals

With current rates of immigration maintained, population growth expected to fall .5% in ten years to .2%.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

U.S. WLI Decreased

ECRI February 17, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticked down.   More

U.S. Economy Experiencing Growth Upturn

Financial Sense February 14, 2017

After two years of slowing economic growth, leading indicators for the US have decisively turned upwards.   More

U.S. WLI Ticked Up

ECRI February 10, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate was virtually unchanged.   More

U.S. WLI Monthly Increased

ECRI February 8, 2017

U.S. WLI level at 143.1, growth rate edged up to 11.8%.   More

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Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -1.0
Public update:

Feb 17

Member update:

Feb 17


USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 0.5
Public update:

Feb 03

Member update:

Feb 03

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 0.3
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

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