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A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • August 14, 2017
  • ECRI

Womenomics Falls Short for Japan

The long-term shift to non-regular work arrangements may actually exacerbate Japan’s demographic challenges.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

Womenomics Falls Short for Japan

ECRI August 14, 2017

The long-term shift to non-regular work arrangements may actually exacerbate Japan’s demographic challenges.   More

Weekly Leading Index Virtually Unchanged

ECRI August 11, 2017

U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate ticks down to 2.7%.   More

Weekly Leading Index Points to Slowing

ECRI August 8, 2017

Monthly data for ECRI's U.S. WLI shows it rose, while its growth rate ticked down to a 16-month low.   More

Interview: Jobs, Inflation & the Fed

Reuters August 4, 2017

Central banks like the Fed are misled by their belief that a lower jobless rate equals higher inflation.   More

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Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -0.1
Public update:

Aug 11
10:30am

Member update:

Aug 11
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) -0.1
Public update:

Aug 04
9:40am

Member update:

Aug 04
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index -0.4
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

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