frameworkContact

A Framework That Provides Clarity

During periods of “low visibility,” confusion reigns: for every indication of one trend, there seems to be a countertrend. The key is to glean from the collective wisdom of reliable leading indicators a clear signal that the economy is headed for a turn.

  • June 29, 2016
  • ECRI

Weak Business Investment No Surprise, Preceded Brexit

The Fed, counting on investment growth to bolster the economy, has been disappointed, undercutting any “rate hike cycle” plans.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

Weak Business Investment No Surprise, Preceded Brexit

ECRI June 29, 2016

The Fed, counting on investment growth to bolster the economy, has been disappointed, undercutting any “rate hike cycle” plans.   More

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Ticked Down

ECRI June 24, 2016

U.S. WLI ticked down to 136.4, while the growth rate little changed at 7.1%.   More

U.S. Coincident Index Ticks Up

ECRI June 21, 2016

Despite an uptick in coincident data, the year-and-a-half old cyclical downturn in economic growth continues.   More

U.S. Weekly Leading Index Edged Down

ECRI June 17, 2016

U.S. WLI edged down to 136.5, while the growth rate increased to 7.1%.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -0.1
Public update:

Jun 24
10:30am

Member update:

Jun 24
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 2.0
Public update:

Jun 03
9:40am

Member update:

Jun 03
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 1.0
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

View the Latest