Solutions for Government
Cycle Analysis & Forecasting for Government
We convey our cyclical analyses and forecasts to government subscribers through regular written reports, including proprietary index charts and interpretation. Additional nuances about the outlook are discussed in private with qualified subscribers. All subscribers have access to the complete historical index database.
* Reports and index data can be delivered directly from ECRI.
| Professional A Subscription | Professional B Subscription |
|---|---|
| ECRI Reports * | ECRI Reports * |
| Index Data * | Index Data * |
| Regular direct access to ECRI’s principals to discuss how the cyclical outlook would impact the timing of policy actions. |
New Leading Index Development
The timing of near-term cyclical swings in economic growth and inflation can play an important role in policy determination. For countries not already covered by ECRI's array of indexes, the development of new leading indexes can be considered on a case-by-case basis.
Contact us about Plans & Index Development for Government:
- E-mail: professional@businesscycle.com
- Phone: New York +1 212 557 7788, London +44 207 060 1223
Sample Reports
U.S. Cyclical Outlook
- September 2005
- September 2000
International Cyclical Outlook
- November 2005
- September 2000
U.S. Inflation Watch
- April 2006
- September 2000
ECRI Weekly Update
- July 8, 2005
- July 18, 2003
How We Help Government Agencies
The Challenge
Most forecasters have a dismal record of predicting the timing of cyclical turns in economic growth, jobs and inflation. This is because most people and forecasting models expect recent patterns to persist in the near future – a sure recipe for being surprised by the next turn, resulting in ill-timed policy actions.
The Solution
Our expertise lies in timing when standard forecasting models will be wrong. By flagging when the economy is about to experience a "surprise" change in direction, our cyclical forecasts can help improve the timing of policy.