Recession-Recovery Watch
Below are data and charts for the U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI), Future Inflation Gauge (FIG) and Leading Home Price Index (LHPI). Interpretation and additional index coverage for the U.S. and international economies are available through our solutions for Professionals.
| U.S. Index | Latest | Prior | Year Ago |
Data | Release Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Web | Pro | |||||
| WLI | 130.9 (1/29) |
131.4 | 107.1 |  |
2/5 10:30 |
2/5 09:00 |
| WLI, Gr. | 21.5% (1/29) |
22.7% | -24.2% | |
2/5 10:30 |
2/5 09:00 |
| USCI | 144.0 (December) |
144.0 | 148.9 | |
1/19 10:30 |
1/19 10:00 |
| USCI, Gr. | -0.6% (December) |
-1.4% | -5.5% | |
1/19 10:30 |
1/19 10:00 |
| USLgI | 144.7 (December) |
144.7 | 165.8 | |
1/21 10:30 |
1/21 10:00 |
| USLgI, Gr. | -10.7% (December) |
-12.5% | 2.6% | |
1/21 10:30 |
1/21 10:00 |
| FIG | 99.0 (December) |
95.3 | 81.7 | * | 2/5 09:40 |
2/5 09:00 |
| LHPI** | 117.7 (November) |
117.0 | 112.1 | * | 12/17 10:30 |
12/17 10:00 |
*Data available exclusively to Pro Members.
**Updated on this page once a quarter and available monthly to Pro Members.
Shaded areas represent growth rate cycle downturns. Horizontal dashes near the bottom mark off U.S. business cycle recessions.
Shaded areas represent cyclical downturns in real home prices.
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
- IMF, Jan '05
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