News
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May 09 2012
Free Market Economies Have Business Cycles
Many think recessions are some sort of “failure,” and, if policy makers just did the “right thing,” they could stave off recession indefinitely, meaning they could repeal the business cycle. More
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Oct 05 2011
Explaining the Recession Call
The U.S. recovery wasn’t much to begin with, and now it’s dead. More
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Sep 30 2011
Recession Can't be Averted
Lakshman Achuthan talks with The Wall Street Journal about ECRI's new recession call. More
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Sep 23 2011
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Sep 16 2011
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Jul 29 2011
Are we at a tipping point?
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with The Wall Street Journal about how our slowdown call from earlier this year is impacted by recent events. Budget projections are also discussed. More
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Jun 13 2011
A Prolonged Slowdown
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks Simon Constable about a drawn-out slowdown ahead for the U.S. economy, including more sluggish jobs growth that could be around for months to come. More
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Jan 05 2011
Growth Revival and Inflation
"...A growth acceleration is very likely in 2011, says Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, which publishes the closely watched Weekly Leading Indicators. More
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Nov 17 2010
Global Industrial Growth Revival Ahead
"...the Journal of Commerce-Economic Cycle Research Institute industrial-prices index hit its 2010 high last Friday, just a hair under its record high from 2008. More
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Sep 03 2010
WLI Level vs. Growth
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses the latest Weekly Leading Index data with the Wall Street Journal's Kelly Evans. The discussion addresses some of the misunderstanding about how the growth rate of t More
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Mar 09 2010
More Frequent Recessions Ahead
ECRI's Banerji spoke with the Wall Street Journal about more frequent recessions ahead. More
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Nov 27 2009
Sharp recession, sharp recovery?
One argument for a strong economic recovery rests on the historical observation that deep declines are followed by sharp rebounds. Yet, despite the Great Recession being the deepest downturn since More
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Jan 20 2009
Things Get Worse, Slower
Barack Obama campaigned on a message of hope. It seems appropriate on this day, then, to note some glimmers amid the gloomy economic outlook. More
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Dec 03 2008
'Beige' Report Should Show Even More Red
At a year old, the recession is getting long in the tooth. But it only seems to be getting stronger. More
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Aug 13 2007
Riding the business cycle
It was the moment of truth for Kolkata-born economist Anirvan Banerji. In 2000, his boss, the founder of one of America’s leading economic research institutes, had died, and left him in charge. I More
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Sep 30 2005
Sizing Up the CPI
Just as misbehaving military-schoolers get drummed out of the cadet corps, misbehaving energy prices were drummed out of the CPI core 30 years ago. More
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Nov 18 2004
Don't Worry. Don't be Happy.
Don't worry. Don't be happy. That probably will be the message today when the Conference Board unveils the October results for its Index of Leading Economic Indicators. More
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Aug 16 2004
Name That Tune
Does the orchestra follow the maestro, or does the maestro follow the orchestra? More
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Jul 23 2004
Leading Indicators Fell in June
Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York research firm, said recent data point to "a downshift of economic growth." More
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Jun 30 2004
A Chill Wind
With the Fed set to push up interest rates for the first time in over four years today, one little fact may have eluded many investors: The economy's growth rate already seems to be slowing down. More
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