News & Events
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Jun 02 2011
Growth Peaking for Global Industrial Sector
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan explains how the imminent slowing of global industrial growth relates to the U.S. economy, including markets and jobs. More
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Jun 01 2011
New Growth Rate Cycle Peaks Determined
Today ECRI is announcing its determination of new growth rate cycle peak dates for Canada, Mexico, Spain and Korea. More
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May 29 2011
Why Are Investors Buying Bonds?
"...By this summer, industrial growth will be visibly slowing around the world, said Lakshman Achuthan, the managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute, a private forecasting group. More
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May 28 2011
Flat Spain a Risk
"...The Economic Cycle Research Institute's long leading indicator for Spain, which leads business cycle turns by about a year, peaked in March 2007. More
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May 27 2011
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May 18 2011
Global Industrial Growth to Slow Soon
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Yahoo Finance's Aaron Task about the coming global industrial slowdown. More
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May 18 2011
Cruel Summer?
A global summer slowdown looms as a leading indicator of factory activity has turned down. More
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May 13 2011
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May 06 2011
Growth to Peak for Global Industrial Sector
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Bloomberg's Tom Keene about the jobs data, and the impending global industrial slowdown. More
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May 06 2011
Discussing Jobs Report
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan relates today's jobs report to where we are in the business cycle, and where were are headed. More
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May 06 2011
Global Industrial Growth Downturn
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined CNBC this morning to discuss the impending downturn in global industrial growth. More
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May 06 2011
Squawk Box Interview
On May 6 morning at 6:10 AM (ET) ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will join CNBC's Squawk Box to discuss the latest developments in ECRI's indicators. More
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May 06 2011
U.S. FIG Drops
U.S. inflationary pressures were lower in April, as the U.S. future inflation gauge slid to 102.8 from a revised 104.7 in March. More
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May 06 2011
EZ FIG at 30-month high
Inflationary pressures in the euro zone reached a 30-month high in March. More
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May 06 2011
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Apr 25 2011
Near-term good, but don't extrapolate!
Lakshman talks with Gerri Willis about near-term and longer term cyclical risks for the U.S. economy. More
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Apr 21 2011
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Apr 15 2011
The latest inflation data
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Fox Business News about the latest CPI data update, with a focus on the core rate of inflation. More
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Apr 15 2011
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Apr 01 2011
The Fed's problem is knowing when to move
Early Friday morning Lakshman Achuthan discusses the jobs report, and how the Fed is hampered by the Output Gap, Core Inflation and even inflation expectations. More
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Testimonial
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms.
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
