News & Events
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Feb 29 2012
Q4 GDP Revision & Recession
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with CNNi following today's revision to 2011 Q4 GDP. More
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Feb 24 2012
U.S. Growth Slowing, Not Reviving
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg Surveillance to point out that U.S. economic growth has actually slowed in recent months, contrary to the consensus view. More
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Feb 24 2012
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Feb 24 2012
U.S. Growth at 21-Month Low
The hard data which officially define recession show that U.S. economic growth has been slowing, not reviving. More
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Feb 24 2012
Velocity of Money Dropping
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses our recession call, including the Weekly Leading Index and velocity of money. More
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Feb 17 2012
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Feb 10 2012
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Feb 03 2012
WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose modestly in the latest week. More
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Feb 03 2012
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in January, as the U.S. future inflation gauge climbed to 101.2. More
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Feb 03 2012
Euro Inflation Pressures Ease
Inflationary pressures in the euro zone slipped further in December. More
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Feb 01 2012
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in January. More
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Jan 27 2012
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Jan 20 2012
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Jan 13 2012
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Jan 11 2012
ECRI WLI Rises
A measure of future U.S. economic growth strengthened in the latest week. More
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Jan 06 2012
U.S. FIG Rises
U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in December. More
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Jan 06 2012
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Dec 30 2011
Weekly Leading Index Falls
A gauge of future economic activity in the U.S. fell last week. More
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Dec 23 2011
WLI Ticks Down
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged lower in the latest week. More
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Dec 18 2011
Forecasting Fog
The American economy certainly isn’t at peak strength. With unemployment at a painfully high 8.6 percent, it can’t be. More
Testimonial
"eerily accurate"
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation… The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
