News & Events
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Oct 05 2012

Eurozone inflation pressures stay low in August
"While the EZFIG increased in August, it stayed well below last year's highs and remains near June's 27-month low. Thus, euro zone inflation pressures are still quite weak." More
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Sep 30 2012

As Money Pours Down, It’s No Wonder That Stocks Are Up
The markets are getting plenty of help from the world’s big central banks. Will it be enough to keep the current rally going? More
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Sep 30 2012

Updated Growth Rate Cycle Dates
We have recently updated the latest growth rate cycle peak date for Switzerland. More
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Sep 28 2012
Neue Zürcher Zeitung
USA sind mitten in einer Rezession
Die Börsen boomen. Doch mit der Realwirtschaft habe das wenig zu tun, erklärt Lakshman Achuthan. More
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Sep 28 2012

ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic expansion continued to improve last week. More
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Sep 21 2012

WLI Rises Again
A measure of future U.S. economic growth climbed last week. More
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Sep 14 2012

ECRI WLI Rises
A measure of future U.S. economic growth picked up last week. More
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Sep 13 2012

The 2012 Recession: Are We There Yet?
Nine months ago we knew that, sitting here today, most people probably would not realize that we are in recession – and we do believe we are in recession. More
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Sep 13 2012

Recession Update
Nine months ago we knew that, sitting here today, most people probably would not realize that we are in recession – and we do believe we are in recession. More
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Sep 07 2012

ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More
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Sep 07 2012

U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Slips
"The USFIG remains in a cyclical downswing. Thus, U.S. inflation pressures continue to trend downward," ECRI said in a release. More
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Sep 07 2012

Eurozone Inflation Pressures Stay Weak
As anticipated by the earlier downturn in the Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge, euro zone inflation has fallen in recent months. More
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Sep 06 2012

New Zealand Business Cycle Trough
ECRI has established a new business cycle trough date for New Zealand. More
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Aug 31 2012

ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More
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Aug 24 2012
Neue Zürcher Zeitung
Auf der Suche nach der Rezession in den USA
Die US-Wirtschaft quält sich gemessen am BIP langsam voran. Manche Beobachter meinen mit Blick auf einen breiteren Zahlenkranz jedoch, eine milde Rezession in den USA habe bereits begonnen. More
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Aug 24 2012

ECRI WLI Rises
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More
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Aug 17 2012

ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up last week. More
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Aug 10 2012

ECRI WLI Growth Flat
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More
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Aug 03 2012

ECRI WLI Ticks Down
A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell in the latest week. More
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Aug 03 2012

ECRI Inflation Gauge Rises
U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in July. More
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Testimonial
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI’s array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms.
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
