News & Events
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Jan 22 2010
WLI Growth at 19-Week Low
A weekly measure of future U.S. economic growth continued to rise in the latest week while its yearly growth rate slipped further, More
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Jan 15 2010
WLI Continues Climbing
A weekly gauge of future U.S. economic growth continued its climb in the latest week, More
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Jan 08 2010
Time
Bank Lending Is Still Down. Should We Be Worried?
"...Finally, unlike the stock market or consumer confidence, bank lending is a lagging indicator. Businesses look for loans to expand once the economy is growing and orders are coming in again. More
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Jan 08 2010
Seeing Through the Fog
First, the good news: U.S. unemployment didn't increase in December, remaining at the 10% level from November, according to figures released Friday by the U.S. Labor Department. More
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Jan 08 2010
U.S. Inflation Pressures Begin to Mount in December
A monthly gauge of U.S. inflation pressures rose for the ninth straight month in December, More
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Jan 08 2010
WLI Climbs to 18-month High
A weekly measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week as its yearly growth rate declined, More
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Jan 08 2010
Inflation Simmers in EZ
Inflationary pressure has returned in the 16-nation euro zone, More
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Jan 07 2010
2009 Recession End Dates Determined for Japan, Canada (and many more)
We have now determined business cycle trough dates (end of recession) for the following countries: Canada: Jul. ‘09 Mexico: May ‘09 France: Feb. ‘09 Japan: Mar. ‘09 Korea: Dec ‘0 More
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Jan 03 2010
Jane Bryant Quinn
Curb Your Enthusiasm
I didn’t like what I heard from one of my favorite economists when I ran into him at a party on New Year’s Day. More
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Jan 02 2010
2010 outlook for economy
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talked with the CBS Evening news. More
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Dec 31 2009
WLI Level Edges Higher
A weekly gauge of future U.S. economic growth edged higher in the latest week. More
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Dec 31 2009
Achuthan Explains Why Recessions More Frequent
ECRI managing director, Lakshman Achuthan, spoke with Bloomberg TV about why the U.S. will see more frequent recessions ahead. More
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Dec 31 2009
2010 Cyclical Outlook
ECRI’s Achuthan appeared on CNBC’s Squawk Box this morning to discuss the near-term and longer-term cyclical outlook. His comments come at the beginning and end of the segment. More
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Dec 22 2009
Advisor Perspectives
Recovery and Jobs Growth are Underway
Lakshman Achuthan is the managing director of the Economic Cycle Research Institute and managing editor of ECRI’s forecasting publications. More
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Dec 18 2009
WLI Rises to 17-month High
A weekly measure of future U.S. economic growth continued to rise, reaching levels hit in the summer of 2008. More
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Dec 11 2009
Commodities Show Boom as Recession Recedes
Raw-material prices are signaling the economy is in a "boom cycle" as the world exits the worst recession since World War II, said Lakshman Achuthan. More
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Dec 11 2009
Consumer is Recovering
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan comments on where the consumer is now, and where they're headed in coming quarters (following breakdown of survey data by Steve Liesman). More
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Dec 11 2009
WLI Growth Rises
A weekly index of future U.S. economic growth ticked up to levels reached early last year in the latest week. More
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Dec 08 2009
Higher Productivity Means More Jobs Ahead
The Workforce is Working Harder With Fewer Workers SUSIE GHARIB: As the White House tries to kick-start hiring, companies across the economy are getting by with fewer workers. But those employees a More
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Dec 08 2009
Business inventory increase a good sign
"...Amy Scott: We're not talking any miracles here. Inventories grew by just two-tenths of a percent. But after 13 months of declines, economist Lakshman Achuthan says it's a good sign. Lakshman Ac More
Testimonial
This approach works like a charm.
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms.
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
