News & Events
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Jul 19 2010
Globe and Mail
Slowdown Call Came Long Ago
The bears’ favourite economic statistic of the moment keeps getting worse. More
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Jul 16 2010
WLI Flat, Growth Rate Falls
A measure of future U.S. economic growth was unchanged in the latest week, More
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Jul 09 2010
WLI Growth Falls Further
A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell to the lowest since July 2009, More
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Jul 09 2010
MarketWatch
Tempest Brews In Data Teapot
Economists, traders and analysts are splitting mainly into two camps: slow growth versus double dip. More
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Jul 04 2010
Vorsicht vor Aktien zyklischer Unternehmen
Vorlaufende Indikatoren zeigen: Das Wachstum der Weltwirtschaft wird schwächer werden, so Lakshman Achuthan, vom New Yorker Economic Cycle Research Institute ECRI. More
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Jul 03 2010
More Frequent Recessions
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with All Things Considered about the imminent economic slowdown and why there will be more recessions in the coming decade than people expect. More
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Jul 03 2010
China's Soft-Landing
Excerpt from International Trader More
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Jul 03 2010
Slowdown? Stimulus?
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with CNN's Christine Romans about the current state of the recovery, the outlook and stimulus. More
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Jul 02 2010
WLI Growth Drops
A measure of future economic growth fell slightly in the latest week, More
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Jul 02 2010
U.S. FIG at 7-Month Low
A monthly measure of U.S. inflation pressures fell to a 7-month low in June.., More
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Jul 02 2010
Jobs Day Interviews
On Friday ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan will appear on the following shows to discuss the cyclical outlook, including the monthly jobs report. More
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Jul 02 2010
Jobs Data Release
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with CNN as the jobs data was released on Friday morning. More
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Jul 02 2010
Jobs, Recovery, Recession?
Early Friday morning, ECRI's Achuthan spoke with CNBC's Squawk Box about jobs, and the emerging economic slowdown that was predicted by ECRI six months ago. More
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Jul 02 2010
Eurozone Inflation Pressures Rise
Inflationary pressures in the euro zone edged up in May, according to a forward-looking indicator from the Economic Cycle Research Institute. More
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Jul 01 2010
WLI Widely Misunderstood
There's been much attention to our work of late, including a report from Bank of America listing several critiques of our Weekly Leading Index (WLI). More
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Jun 29 2010
Review of Four China Leading Indexes
Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Bloomberg TV about ECRI's four different Chinese Leading Indexes and the nuanced view that they present about the cyclical outlook. Lakshman also discusses multiple U.S. L More
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Jun 26 2010
Get Ready for More Recessions
The presentation of ECRI's thesis can be viewed through the two links below -- one with full slides, and one containing Lakshman's notes. More
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Jun 25 2010
WLI Growth at 56-Week Low
A measure of future U.S.economic growth rose slightly in the latest week, More
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Jun 24 2010
Manufacturing in this recovery
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with NPR about manufacturing in the current cycle. More
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Jun 24 2010
The Big Picture
WLI Widely Misunderstood
The following discussion is by Lakshman Achuthan and Anirvan Banerji, co-founders of ECRI: More
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As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI’s array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
"eerily accurate"
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
This approach works like a charm.
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation… The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
