News & Events
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Aug 29 2011
Jury Still Out on Recession Call
There is more weakness ahead, but the jury is still out as to whether the cyclical (not transitory) slowdown will turn into a new recession. More
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Aug 26 2011
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Aug 24 2011
Rumble From Richmond
There was a rumble from Richmond, which extended north to New York. More
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Aug 19 2011
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Aug 12 2011
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Aug 05 2011
EZ FIG at 7-month low
Inflationary pressures in the euro zone fell to a seven-month low in June. More
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Aug 05 2011
WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth increased in the week ended July 29. More
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Aug 01 2011
Business Cycle Getting Stuck
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses how the problems withe the job market predated the Great Recession, and how the jobs market reveals both the brief revival and the current cyclical slowdown. More
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Aug 01 2011
New Brazilian Long Leading Index
Brazil, the largest economy in South America, is the twentieth country to be incorporated into ECRI's global cyclical monitoring framework. More
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Jul 29 2011
Are we at a tipping point?
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with The Wall Street Journal about how our slowdown call from earlier this year is impacted by recent events. Budget projections are also discussed. More
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Jul 29 2011
Slowdown Undeniable
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Reuters about the undeniable slowdown and associated risks. More
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Jul 29 2011
Budget Projections Ignore Recessions
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Reuters about how unrealistic it is that the debt and budget debate in Washington doesn't include recession scenarios. More
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Jul 29 2011
Shocks During Slowdowns Are Risky
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with CNN International about how the combination of a cyclical downturn in growth and shocks are quite risky. More
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Jul 29 2011
Business Hesitation Part of Slowdown
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with the BBC about how the slowdown was foreseeable. More
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Jul 29 2011
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Jul 28 2011
Slowdowns Are Risky
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with BBC TV about how shocks during slowdowns are more risky than you might think. More
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Jul 28 2011
Impact of Debt Default
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan explains why the economy's vulnerability to shocks goes up and down with the business cycle, and how today, given the cyclical slowdown, shocks carry more risk. Corporate prof More
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Jul 26 2011
Cyclical Outlook Amid Debt Debate
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan talks with Bloomberg TV about the outlook for the U.S. economy amid the continued lawmaker negotiations on raising the U.S. debt ceiling and reducing the deficit. Corporate ea More
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Jul 25 2011
Slowdown to Continue
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with Reuters about the slowdown, jobs, and the debt and budget debate in Washington. More
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Jul 22 2011
Upcoming Events
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May22
London
ECRI May 22, 2013
Testimonial
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
ECRI [is] the most accurate forecasting institution in the world.
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
