News & Events
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Jun 14 2013
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More
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Jun 11 2013
New Zealand Gets New Business Cycle Dates
Today ECRI is announcing May and October 2010 as the business cycle peak and trough dates for the most recent recession in New Zealand. More
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Jun 07 2013
ECRI WLI Growth Ticks Down
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose last week. More
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Jun 07 2013
U.S. FIG At Six Month Low
U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly lower in May. More
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Jun 07 2013
Eurozone Inflation Pressures Fall to 38- Month Low
"The EZFIG declined further in its latest reading to a 38-month low, suggesting that euro zone inflation will stay in an easing trend in the months ahead," said ECRI. More
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May 31 2013
What Wealth Effect?
The latest drop in consumer spending is consistent with the recessionary plunge in yoy U.S. import growth into negative territory. More
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May 31 2013
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged higher last week. More
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May 24 2013
ECRI WLI Growth Ticks Down
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged higher last week, even as the annualized growth rate declined slightly. More
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May 17 2013
Weekly Leading Index Fell
A measure of future U.S. economic growth dipped last week. More
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May 10 2013
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up last week. More
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May 03 2013
Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
A measure of future U.S. economic growth held steady last week. More
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May 03 2013
US Future Inflation Gauge Ticks Up
U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in April. More
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May 03 2013
Euro zone inflation pressures near three-year low
The EZFIG declined in its latest reading and is hovering just above January's 35-month low, suggesting that euro zone inflation will weaken further in the coming months. More
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May 01 2013
New Growth Rate Cycle Peaks for Mexico and Japan
Today ECRI is announcing new growth rate cycle peak dates for Mexico and Japan. More
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May 01 2013
New Business Cycle Peaks for Italy and Japan
Today ECRI is announcing new business cycle peak dates for Italy and Japan. More
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Apr 26 2013
Nominal GDP Growth Falls Again
Yoy nominal GDP growth at or below 3.7% has been seen only in recessionary contexts. In Q1/2013, it slipped to 3.4% from 3.5% in Q4/2012. More
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Apr 26 2013
International Business Times
GDP Growth Lower Than Expected
“Few realize that GDP data for almost all the early quarters of recent recessions have been revised down dramatically,” said Lakshman Achuthan. More
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Apr 26 2013
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose last week. More
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Apr 19 2013
ECRI WLI Rises
A measure of future U.S. economic expansion increased. More
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Apr 13 2013
International Business Times
Why Recovery Plan Has Faltered
“We are not seeing signs of an imminent growth upturn that so many claim to see,” [ECRI] concludes." More
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ECRI July 12, 2013
Testimonial
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock – deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
In March [2009], the month the market scraped bottom, ECRI went forth with [a] tablepounding historical observation… The implication could not have been clearer that a market rally, when it started, would be no sucker's affair but the real McCoy.
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
