News
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May 09 2012
Revoking Recession: 48th Time's the Charm?
Has personal income growth ever remained this low for three months without the economy going into recession? More
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Apr 20 2012
ECRI Insight: The Yo-Yo Years
The convergence of two cyclical patterns virtually dictates an era of more frequent recessions in developed economies. More
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Mar 22 2012
The Yo-Yo Years
Presentation slides and notes from Frankfurt conference about the risk of contagion, explaining why both developed and developing economies are now in the "Yo-Yo Years." More
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Mar 15 2012
Why Our Recession Call Stands
Many have questioned why, in the face of improving economic data, ECRI has maintained its recession call. The straight answer is that the objective economic indicators we monitor give us no choice. More
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Mar 07 2012
New Growth Rate Cycle Dates
We have recently determined growth rate cycle peak dates for France, Italy and Switzerland. More
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Aug 01 2011
New Brazilian Long Leading Index
Brazil, the largest economy in South America, is the twentieth country to be incorporated into ECRI's global cyclical monitoring framework. More
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Jun 01 2011
New Growth Rate Cycle Peaks Determined
Today ECRI is announcing its determination of new growth rate cycle peak dates for Canada, Mexico, Spain and Korea. More
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Mar 31 2011
Mr. Greenspan’s Blind Spot
In early March, former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan was asked to comment about ECRI's long-held criticism that the Fed is chronically behind the curve on monetary policy. More
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Mar 10 2011
Announcing Russian Business Cycle Dates
ECRI has determined the business cycle dates for the Russian economy. More
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Oct 04 2010
Growth Rate Cycle Chronologies Updated
ECRI has updated the growth rate cycle dates for India and New Zealand. More
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Sep 24 2010
Recession End Dates for Major Int'l Economies
ECRI has determined the recession end dates for most of the G-7 and other major economies, More
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Jan 07 2010
2009 Recession End Dates Determined for Japan, Canada (and many more)
We have now determined business cycle trough dates (end of recession) for the following countries: Canada: Jul. ‘09 Mexico: May ‘09 France: Feb. ‘09 Japan: Mar. ‘09 Korea: Dec ‘0 More
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Oct 05 2009
Presentation Notes on Recession and Recovery
ECRI's managing director, Lakshman Achuthan, shares his presentation notes and slides on the Great Recession and current recovery. More
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Mar 28 2008
A Recession of Choice
The U.S. economy is now on a recession track. Yet this is a recession that could have been averted. More
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Jan 25 2008
A Window of Opportunity
Special Report: The U.S. economy is now in a clear window of vulnerability. More
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Jan 17 2008
Melita Moore (1909 - 2008)
MOORE--Melita (Holly) Riley, passed away in Bloomfield, CT, on January 16, 2008. She was born in September 1909 in Joplin, Missouri, the daughter of the late William M. and Rose (Brunner) Holly. More
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Jan 02 2008
JoC-ECRI Index Revised
On January 2, 2008, a revamped Journal of Commerce-Economic Cycle Research Institute (JoC-ECRI) Industrial Price Index will be released. More
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Feb 17 2005
Business & Growth Cycle Updates
ECRI has updated its business and growth rate cycle chronologies. More
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Sep 13 2004
Forecasting German Exports
ECRI introduces a new Leading Index of German Exports on September 15, 2004. More
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Aug 25 2002
The WLI Tug-of-War
The plunge in stock prices from early spring to the middle of summer has clearly hurt not only U.S. investor confidence, but also business confidence, and raised fears of a new recession. More
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