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ECRI Reveals Challenges for Exit Strategy Timing

ECRI
January 29, 2010

(ECRI) - Following the plunge in ECRI’s international future inflation gauges to deflationary lows, the global recession triggered actual price declines in most major economies. However, inflation has once again begun to creep up, rising significantly in China and India, as the global economic revival gains momentum.

Country-by-country inflation pressures, as monitored by ECRI’s international future inflation gauges, are significantly different, as are the monetary measures that were enacted by central banks during this severe global recession. These issues, coupled with emerging factors that threaten the global recovery, make it particularly difficult for policymakers to time their exit strategies. In the context of these challenges, ECRI’s latest report highlights the metrics that predict the competing risks of inflation and recession for the key global economies.

This information is excerpted from a full report issued on January 28th to Professional members. For information on how to receive ECRI's professional services click this link.

Now that the value of information has gotten to be about zero, there's an overload, and I think what's gonna be the end result is the value of expertise is gonna go to infinity. Because it's harder and harder for people to digest all these inputs, let alone make sense out of them, let alone translate them into investment decisions.

- Wilbur Ross, CNBC, Dec. 1, 2009

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