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New Study Flags Major Risks to Long-Term Job Growth

ECRI
November 23, 2009

(ECRI) - The jobless recovery predicted by ECRI early last summer is a reality. The question hotly debated now is how long it will take the U.S. economy to regain the millions of jobs lost in this recession. ECRI's latest analysis, using reliable and objective leading indexes, is relatively optimistic about near-term job growth, and rules out a double-dip recession. However, the study uncovers ominous longer-term trends with very troubling implications for non-manufacturing employment, which now encompasses more than 90% of U.S. jobs.

This information is excerpted from a full report issued on November 19th to Professional members. For information on how to receive ECRI's professional services click this link.

ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.

- Harvard Business Review, Apr. 2004

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