Will Recessions Become More Frequent?
ECRI
June 30, 2009
(ECRI) - As the U.S. economy emerges from its worst postwar recession, there is widespread concern that huge deficits, along with rising interest rates and high longer-term inflation, will push the U.S. economy back into recession in short-order. Similar concerns exist for the budding recoveries of other major international economies.
ECRI’s latest analysis, examines cyclical patterns that determine the frequency and duration of recessions and recoveries in the U.S. and abroad with clear insights on the likelihood of a fresh round of recessionary downturns.
This information is excerpted from a full report issued June 26 to Professional members. For information on how to receive ECRI's professional services click this link.
5/09: ...I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction -- even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that—lead where things were headed .
- Randall Forsyth, Barron's
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