• December 8, 2011
  • Bloomberg

Recession Update

ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses ECRI's recessionary outlook, Gross Domestic Income, and how economic growth doesn't really "muddle along" at sustained low rates.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

Reports

Posted February 21, 2012

U.S. Cyclical Outlook

Posted February 17, 2012

ECRI Weekly Update

Posted February 10, 2012

ECRI Weekly Update

Posted February 03, 2012

ECRI Weekly Update

Featured Past Report Summary:
Posted December 02, 2011

Cyclical Shift for Chinese Economy

Over the past year, China has made countless policy moves to curb runaway inflation, but the current manufacturing slowdown may be more than they may have bargained for.   More

Full Report: International Cyclical Outlook: Nov 29, 2011

News

WLI Falls

Reuters February 17, 2012

A measure of future U.S. economic growth was little changed in the latest week.   More

WLI Rises

Reuters February 10, 2012

A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged higher in the latest week.   More

WLI Ticks Up

Reuters February 3, 2012

A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose modestly in the latest week.   More

U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises

Bond Buyer February 3, 2012

U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in January, as the U.S. future inflation gauge climbed to 101.2.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) -0.1
Public update:

Feb 17
10:30am

Member update:

Feb 17
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) 2.3
Public update:

Feb 03
9:40am

Member update:

Feb 03
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 1.6
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

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