News & Events
-
Mar 22 2012
The Yo-Yo Years
Presentation slides and notes from Frankfurt conference about the risk of contagion, explaining why both developed and developing economies are now in the "Yo-Yo Years." More
-
Mar 16 2012
-
Mar 15 2012
Why Our Recession Call Stands
Many have questioned why, in the face of improving economic data, ECRI has maintained its recession call. The straight answer is that the objective economic indicators we monitor give us no choice. More
-
Mar 09 2012
WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up last week. More
-
Mar 09 2012
-
Mar 09 2012
Euro Inflation Pressures Ease
Falling further from its early 2011 high, the EZFIG declined to a 21-month low in its latest reading. More
-
Mar 07 2012
New Growth Rate Cycle Dates
We have recently determined growth rate cycle peak dates for France, Italy and Switzerland. More
-
Mar 02 2012
-
Feb 29 2012
Q4 GDP Revision & Recession
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan spoke with CNNi following today's revision to 2011 Q4 GDP. More
-
Feb 24 2012
U.S. Growth Slowing, Not Reviving
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan joined Bloomberg Surveillance to point out that U.S. economic growth has actually slowed in recent months, contrary to the consensus view. More
-
Feb 24 2012
-
Feb 24 2012
U.S. Growth at 21-Month Low
The hard data which officially define recession show that U.S. economic growth has been slowing, not reviving. More
-
Feb 24 2012
Velocity of Money Dropping
ECRI's Lakshman Achuthan discusses our recession call, including the Weekly Leading Index and velocity of money. More
-
Feb 17 2012
-
Feb 10 2012
-
Feb 03 2012
WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose modestly in the latest week. More
-
Feb 03 2012
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in January, as the U.S. future inflation gauge climbed to 101.2. More
-
Feb 03 2012
Euro Inflation Pressures Ease
Inflationary pressures in the euro zone slipped further in December. More
-
Feb 01 2012
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Rises
U.S. inflationary pressures were higher in January. More
-
Jan 27 2012
Upcoming Events
-
Jun26
Seoul, Korea
ECRI June 26, 2013 -
Jul12
St. John's, Newfoundland
ECRI July 12, 2013
Testimonial
Over the last 15 years, [ECRI] has gotten all of its recession calls right, while issuing no false alarms.
ECRI can justify a certain smugness now that business cycles are back in fashion. The institute called the last two recessions and the current recovery months ahead of the pack.
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock – deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
Inflation Ahoy! We're indebted to the ECRI, that unnapping watchdog of inflation, for the FIG data.
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
