News & Events
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Sep 13 2012
Recession Update
Nine months ago we knew that, sitting here today, most people probably would not realize that we are in recession – and we do believe we are in recession. More
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Sep 07 2012
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More
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Sep 07 2012
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Slips
"The USFIG remains in a cyclical downswing. Thus, U.S. inflation pressures continue to trend downward," ECRI said in a release. More
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Sep 07 2012
Eurozone Inflation Pressures Stay Weak
As anticipated by the earlier downturn in the Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge, euro zone inflation has fallen in recent months. More
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Sep 06 2012
New Zealand Business Cycle Trough
ECRI has established a new business cycle trough date for New Zealand. More
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Aug 31 2012
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More
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Aug 24 2012
Neue Zürcher Zeitung
Auf der Suche nach der Rezession in den USA
Die US-Wirtschaft quält sich gemessen am BIP langsam voran. Manche Beobachter meinen mit Blick auf einen breiteren Zahlenkranz jedoch, eine milde Rezession in den USA habe bereits begonnen. More
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Aug 24 2012
ECRI WLI Rises
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up in the latest week. More
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Aug 17 2012
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up last week. More
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Aug 10 2012
ECRI WLI Growth Flat
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More
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Aug 03 2012
ECRI WLI Ticks Down
A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell in the latest week. More
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Aug 03 2012
ECRI Inflation Gauge Rises
U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in July. More
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Aug 03 2012
Eurozone price pressures at 27-mth low
ECRI FIG data show that price pressures in the euro zone fell to a 27-month low in June, easing in all four of the bloc's biggest economies. More
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Jul 30 2012
New Growth Rate Cycle Peaks for Russia and South Africa
Today ECRI is announcing new growth rate cycle peak dates for Russia and South Africa. More
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Jul 27 2012
ECRI WLI Rises
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More
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Jul 26 2012
New Russian Leading Index
ECRI announces the addition of Leading and Coincident Indexes for Russia which completes our coverage of the BRICS, providing essential cyclical coverage for these increasingly important countries. More
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Jul 20 2012
ECRI WLI Slips
A measure of future U.S. economic growth fell in the latest week. More
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Jul 15 2012
Cold Facts Are Getting in Investors’ Way
“...sometime at the end of the year or early next year the data will be revised and we’ll start to get some clarity about when the recession actually started.” More
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Jul 13 2012
ECRI WLI Rises
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose to an eight-week high in the latest week. More
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Jul 10 2012
Recession Here
It takes time to realize that a recession has already begun. More
Upcoming Events
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May22
London
ECRI May 22, 2013
Testimonial
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock – deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
No one speaks with more authority about the economy's turning points.
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.
