News & Events
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May 17 2013
Weekly Leading Index Fell
A measure of future U.S. economic growth dipped last week. More
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May 10 2013
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth edged up last week. More
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May 03 2013
Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
A measure of future U.S. economic growth held steady last week. More
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May 03 2013
US Future Inflation Gauge Ticks Up
U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly higher in April. More
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May 03 2013
Euro zone inflation pressures near three-year low
The EZFIG declined in its latest reading and is hovering just above January's 35-month low, suggesting that euro zone inflation will weaken further in the coming months. More
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May 01 2013
New Growth Rate Cycle Peaks for Mexico and Japan
Today ECRI is announcing new growth rate cycle peak dates for Mexico and Japan. More
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May 01 2013
New Business Cycle Peaks for Italy and Japan
Today ECRI is announcing new business cycle peak dates for Italy and Japan. More
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Apr 26 2013
Nominal GDP Growth Falls Again
Yoy nominal GDP growth at or below 3.7% has been seen only in recessionary contexts. In Q1/2013, it slipped to 3.4% from 3.5% in Q4/2012. More
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Apr 26 2013
International Business Times
GDP Growth Lower Than Expected
“Few realize that GDP data for almost all the early quarters of recent recessions have been revised down dramatically,” said Lakshman Achuthan. More
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Apr 26 2013
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose last week. More
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Apr 19 2013
ECRI WLI Rises
A measure of future U.S. economic expansion increased. More
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Apr 13 2013
International Business Times
Why Recovery Plan Has Faltered
“We are not seeing signs of an imminent growth upturn that so many claim to see,” [ECRI] concludes." More
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Apr 12 2013
ECRI WLI Ticks Up
A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week. More
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Apr 07 2013
Interview on Jobs & Recession
How the latest jobs data squares with ECRI's recession call. More
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Apr 05 2013
ECRI WLI Falls
A measure of future U.S. economic growth slipped last week. More
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Apr 05 2013
Employment Growth Hits New Low
Year-over-year growth in nonfarm payroll jobs has now dropped to a 19-month low, and household job growth has dropped to an 18-month low. More
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Apr 05 2013
U.S. Future Inflation Gauge Falls
U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly lower in March. More
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Apr 05 2013
Eurozone FIG Rises
The Eurozone Future Inflation Gauge ( EFZIG), published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute, nudged up to 92.3 from January's 91.9. More
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Mar 28 2013
Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
A measure of future U.S. economic growth held steady last week. More
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Mar 22 2013
Weekly Leading Index Unchanged
A measure of future U.S. economic growth was unchanged last week. More
Upcoming Events
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May22
London
ECRI May 22, 2013
Testimonial
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
[T]he Economic Cycle Research Institute [is] a private forecasting group with an excellent track record.
"eerily accurate"
In the opinion littered world of economic forecasting, ECRI is Mr. Spock – deeply analytical, dispassionate, and accurate.
ECRI has had a very stellar record. They've been making pretty bold calls and going against the conventional wisdom. So far their record has been one of the most impressive, and has been written up in the press as well as talked about in policy circles.
ECRI is perhaps the only organisation to give advance warning of each of the past three recessions; just as impressive, it has never issued a false alarm.
