We encourage new members to contact ECRI and schedule an introduction to the information provided via the professional member server. We provide a walk-through of the report library, index downloading, and charting features to help new members gain familiarity with our services.
Understanding that our reports are substantial, we strongly recommend that you read the two to three introduction pages of the monthly U.S. Cyclical Outlook and International Cyclical Outlook reports. This is where we will clearly justify shifts in our cyclical outlook.
Separately, each monthly report also includes a so-called "focus section" that tackles contemporary issues from a cyclical perspective. Our report archive includes an evergreen section highlighting past focus sections on perennial concerns. For example, this includes the relationship between economic and stock price cycles, corrections, equity risk premia, interest rates commodities, currencies, real estate, and debt cycles.
Professional members please call us at +1 212 557 7788 or +44 207 060 1223 for this information.
Our principals regularly travel throughout the world to visit professional A level members. It is likely that we will visit a location near you. ECRI's headquarters are located in midtown Manhattan, so we also regularly host member meetings.
For a sample listing of where we travel, please see our News & Events.
Members can download index data into an Excel file with one sheet or an Excel file with multiple sheets. These downloads can be done manually or they can be automated.
Once you log in, look for Download Index Sets on the home page and click Create a new set. You can specify the region, index type, and update timeframe for your index set. After you create an index set, you will be able to quickly access it for download from the home page and Reports & Indexes pages.
There is a standard color code used for the line colors in our charts:
Green denotes a leading series.
Blue denotes a coincident series.
Pink denotes a lagging series.
Red denotes a leading price (level or growth) series.
Black denotes a coincident price (level or growth) series.
Grey-shaded areas represent business cycle recessions, or cyclical downswings in the level of a series.
Orange-shaded areas represent growth rate cycle downturns, or cyclical downswings in the growth rate of a series.
Green-shaded areas represent cyclical downswings in a price level series.
Blue-shaded areas represent cyclical downswings in a price growth rate series.
Other colors and shaded areas may be used very occasionally for data that do not fit any of the above descriptions.
The clarity and conviction to break from the crowd at the right time.
I have to pay attention to those people and indicators that have pointed in the right direction – even when they've gone against the crowd (and my opinion at the time). One such outfit is the Economic Cycle Research Institute, whose various leading indicators actually have done just that – lead where things were headed.
As an investment strategist, I need to navigate the many twists and turns in the emerging economic landscape with as much foresight as possible to know when to take or avoid risk. In this quest, ECRI’s array of leading indices, specifically designed to predict and navigate economic turning points, have been an indispensible tool.
For ourselves, in this cycle, we'll line up with ECRI.
Nothing in the world compares with ECRI’s insights into the business cycle. Those insights form a key part of our strategic and tactical management of asset class allocations. We have never been disappointed in following what ECRI’s indicators suggest is likely to occur next.
(ECRI’s) forecast of the [Great] recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.