• May 31, 2013
  • ECRI

What Wealth Effect?

The latest drop in consumer spending is consistent with the recessionary plunge in yoy U.S. import growth into negative territory.

ECRI is the world's leading authority on business cycles.

Our state-of-the-art analytical framework is unmatched in its ability to forecast cycle turning points.

Reports

Featured Past Report Summary:
Posted November 28, 2012

Labor Market Paradox

ECRI’s research investigates the cyclical and structural drivers of labor force growth to root out what has been truly driving the drop in joblessness.   More

Full Report: U.S. Cyclical Outlook: Nov 21, 2012

News

ECRI WLI Ticks Up

Reuters June 14, 2013

A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose in the latest week.   More

New Zealand Gets New Business Cycle Dates

ECRI June 11, 2013

Today ECRI is announcing May and October 2010 as the business cycle peak and trough dates for the most recent recession in New Zealand.   More

ECRI WLI Growth Ticks Down

Reuters June 7, 2013

A measure of future U.S. economic growth rose last week.   More

U.S. FIG At Six Month Low

Bond Buyer June 7, 2013

U.S. inflationary pressures were slightly lower in May.   More

More News

Featured ECRI Composite Indexes

WLIW U.S. Weekly Leading Index (weekly) 0.3
Public update:

Jun 14
10:30am

Member update:

Jun 14
9:00am

XLS

USFIGM U.S. Future Inflation Gauge (monthly) -1.6
Public update:

Jun 07
9:40am

Member update:

Jun 07
9:00am

USLHPI U.S. Leading Home Price Index 0.6
Leads cyclical turns in U.S. real home prices. Historical data begins in 1953.

Reports & Indexes

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